That list has about 35 horses on it.. over a 50 year period. When you have a 20 horse field and 19 of those raced at 2, 1 did not, I think it is logical to say one of those 19 will win every year when you add in race trouble, post positions, etc.
There are some good finishes in that list. A few in the money. I don't see why this "curse" cannot be broken. I understand that foundation should be important, but if the most talented horse in the race did not race at two, I dont think the "curse" will be the difference maker.
If Curlin is the best horse in the race (I am not saying he is, but I feel he is one of the top few along with SS, Nobiz and Scat Daddy), and he does not have any or much trouble, he will win. I dont put too much weight on that racing at 2 thing. He has had three very solid races this year and seems to be as fit as any horse in here.
Horses arent "supposed" to win million dollar races in their third start (unless its the Delta Jackpot or BC Juvi), and he has already done that. Geldings arent "supposed" to win the Derby, and Funny Cide did that. Barbaro wasnt "supposed" to win the Derby off of a 5 week layoff, but he did that.
I dont put any weight on the Juvi curse either. A lot of the Juvi winners peak at 2, so of course they are not going to win on the First Saturday in May when others have improved. Some of the Juvi winners also get injured and dont have the opportunity to run for the roses, and there is also distance limitations.
I hope that Street Sense and Curlin dead heat so everyone shuts up about curses.
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