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Originally Posted by ateamstupid
I think it's somewhat overrated in that just because a horse won a race over the track as 2-year-old doesn't mean he's going to run well over it in the Derby. It becomes almost a totally different track on Derby day. However, if you have a horse like Street Sense, who trains at Churchill, whose trainer is based at Churchill, whose rider knows the track inside and out and will be riding there all week before the Derby, then I think that certainly counts for something.
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I agree. It's certainly an angle that shouldn't be dismissed.
2 years ago,
Don't Get Mad LOVED Churchill. He ended up winning the Derby trial, then wheeled back 1 week later and finished 4th (I believe) in the Derby.
I think you have to get SS credit for his BC win there, and you have to give CQ credit for his races there, as well as the long stretch to help him weave through traffic.