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Originally Posted by Bystander
If you're going to discount Cowtown Cat's Ill Derby, kind of have to do the same with his Gotham win where he rode the rail 95% of the time against soft fractions, don't you think? I find it hard to believe he'll get even a remotely similar kind of setup at CD.
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Exactly. The only thing better than betting against a horse off a perfect trip is a horse off two (or more) perfect trips. The slow early/fast late wire jobs in Derby preps not only not win or hit the board, they usually aren't in the top 10. If you have an offshore account and there's a matchup bet pitting a Cowtown Cat against maybe a Chelokee or Bold Start, definitely go against Cowtown Cat.