Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
Ignore that crap. El Corredor was a sprinter/miler (a very good one at that), but having Dixieland Band underneath should make sure 10F is in his reach. It'll be stretching it, but think about the horses that have won the Derby the last 5 years that "couldn't get the distance":
Our Emblem x Lord at War
Distorted Humor x Slewacide
Elusive Quality x Smile
Holy Bull x Stop the Music
Dynaformer x Carson City
So out of the 5, only Giacomo had "true" distance (and you could even argue that Holy Bull was truly an incredible miler that could stretch his ability.)
If the race works in his favor and he gets a good trip, he should be fine.
|
I agree with this for the most part, although I think you could certainly say that Babaro had a good distance pedigree.
In general I think it would be foolish to IGNORE pedigree (as some people do) in a situation where horses are all attempting to go 10F for the first time, but it is only one of many tools.
Dominican's sire was a miler, so I wouldn't say the 10f will help him exactly, but his dam-side (generally considered the more important side in terms of stamina) is plenty strong to keep him from being a "pedigree toss."
Uncle Daddy, If you like using pedigree to make your Derby selections, you probably want to look at Hard Spun. His dam-side is loaded with staying power (Turkoman, Roberto, Alydar) and his sire has already sired a 3yo classic winner (along with about 4 billion other stakes winners). Hard Spun has a great "Derby pedigree."
But I still don't think I am going to use him in the race.