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Originally Posted by Late Fires
Say I have $400 that I'm willing to lose on the Derby.
I have four horses that I've selected as the most likely winners (call them #1-#4) and four others that I think have the best chance to hit the board behind those winners (call them #5-#8). Do you think betting the race as follows makes sense:
$1 Exactas:
1/All; All/1
2/All; All/2
3/All; All/3
4/All; All/4
$1 Trifectas:
1/2-8/2-8
2/1,3-8/1,3-8
3/1,2,4-8/1,2,4-8
4/1-3,5-8/1-3,5-8
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You would be leaving yourself with a very big chance of hitting the exacta and not even covering your bet. As of now I am looking at doing something along the lines of a 4X10 exacta and a 4X4X10 trifecta. Ultimately I will probably decide to go 2X4X10 in the tri to increase my chances that by at least hitting the exacta I'll cover my bets.