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Originally Posted by Betsy
This isn't exactly a top-class field and Mayan King is a talented, improving colt. I see no reason why he couldn't win.........not saying he will, but he is definitely a contender.
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Except that he is a front-running type in a race with several other front-running types. And he is breaking from the 12 hole - gonna he hung out 4,5 wide in the first turn. There are G2 and G3 winners in here, and horses who have placed in such races. What is Mayan King's stakes experience? Finishing far back in the Lane's End. He may be a talented horse, or merely an unexposed horse. After all, his win last out was a n3x; who'd he beat? Noble Causeway? Who was beaten the same distance by Alumni Hall the time before? And I don't think AH is a likely winner.