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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
How many trainers intending to run in the Derby are worried about how much horse they'll have left for the Preakness?
I think you worry about the Derby--and if you're first or second in the Derby, you seem to almost have an obligation to run back in two weeks.
I agree though, in theory, a lightly raced horse with a lot of spacing between starts will figure to have a much more difficult time coming back in two weeks after a big effort in the Derby.....
That's pretty much the case/reasoning I used to bet Sweetnorthernsaint over Barbaro in last year's Preakness.
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I think that is exactly the problem. Every trainer is preparing their horse for a huge effort in the Derby with no thought given to getting it prepared for the whole Triple Crown. Everyone seems to think the lack of preparation makes these horses tosses in the Derby which I disagree with. I think it is just going to make it a lot less likely we'll see a Triple Crown winner as long as we have so many horses peaking on Derby Day and then not prepared for the next two races.