There are going to be more than a few horses in this years Derby who would benefit from a pace meltdown--and, in my opinion, Scat Daddy isn't one of them. His only chance will come if he's able to stalk a slow pace, set by suspect speed horses, while stalking from a good tactical spot.
It's true Scat Daddy's win in the Foutain Of Youth was setup by a strong pace---however, that track was awful kind to inside-speed, and he was wide on both turns and passed horses.
I think people were overly harsh on him after his debut--because many had precieved he had the rail over a rail-favoring track, and still looked blah. However, Pletcher seems to have had all his well thought of 3yo's a little short in there return races this year--and they've all seemed to improve markedly in subsuquent starts. This is opposite to his trend from years past.
In my opinion, only because of the mediocrity of this years 3yo crop, Scat Daddy can't be ruled out totally---but, I don't want any part of him from a betting standpoint.
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