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Originally Posted by Dunbar
I agree with all of this. But the poster predicted the fav would go off at 5-1 or 6-1. I think it's very unlikely that there will be no horse at 9-2 or lower.
--Dunbar
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they're won't be , someone will win impressively and the media will jump on the bandwagon. i'm predicting the fav will be about 3-1. but who wants the fave when its like bumper cars anyway. and i think the favorite wins that race like once every 7 or 8 years avg. unless theres truly a great horse the race is over rated. its a fun bet but some of the other derby card races are better for betting that day. as some other poster pointed out the best bets are the ones that come 2nd or 3rd. thats where the winner usually lands a good price and sometimes a bomb price. look for someone thats a little "short" or makes a big run but doesn't win. i rarely like the fave in that race but i did get burned by bellamy 2 years ago. he looked so good winning the wood. remember Gaucomo, i think he won 1 race after that. do folks really think hes good or or a horse that got a good trip on the right day ?