This race is probably a no-bet situation unless you're playing the pk4 or show a lack of discipline like me. . . with that being said:
Pletcher has been pointing AGS towards this race for a while. He's got a race over the track and in my opinion is underrated. I think if the two favorites get into a slugfest in the final strides he takes it because he has proven his gameness and also will be more cranked up than Street Sense. And with all due respect to Borel and Nafzger, Johnny V. and Pletcher are a little more intimidating.
I'm seeing Street Sense in the same way that I (correctly) saw Summer Doldrums last week. Violette undertrained SD for fear of a bounce and SD had a lackluster performance. Nafzger probably doesn't fear the bounce for this horse because of the time off between races, but he is obviously trying to start him off slow and he won't be anywhere close to 100% for this race.
I still think Street Sense's health should still be in question despite the way he's supposedly working and it will be interesting to see how he looks in the post parade. I've been on AGS since before his race vs. Tiz Wonderful and I'm not jumping off now. . .
I LOVE Optimistic Steve so I'll probably play a $20 exacta AGS over Optimistic Steve and $10 Exacta the other way. . .
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