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Old 03-16-2007, 10:47 PM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 6,549
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lemoncrush
I'm not dismissing Street Senses performance in the BC juvy, but I think it's irrelevant tomorrow. He hasn't raced in over 4 months, and doesn't have a trip over the tricky surface at Tampa. And most importantly, whether it's trainer speak or not, the horse is not cranked and does not need to win. All he wants is a good performance.
Any Given Saturday needs the Graded Earnings to get to the derby,
and is ready to roll.
Bet against Pletcher and Velasquez at your own risk.
The BC JUV irrelevant? How can one of the biggest figure two year old races ever not be relevant?

Okay, four months off is something to consider. But I see 10 works since Jan 29th. He hasn't exactly been resting on his laurels.

The tricky Tampa surface? Yeah thats another factor, but he's ran well at several tracks including the poly at Keeneland. I don't have the feeling that he's going to have that much difficulty with it.

As far as trainerspeak goes, well all I can say is bet on trainerspeak at your own risk. I think if Nafzger gets his good performance then Street Sense wins.

Yep, you can't ignore anything TP sends out, and I'm not advocating that people unload on Street Sense. Its just that he's like the 800lb gorilla in the corner, hard to ignore.

Based on the very explosive moves he made in his last two races, I honestly think he could win this not "fully cranked" and even if he didn't fully care for the surface. But I don't feel inclined to bet on this one, rather just watch this time.
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