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Originally Posted by randallscott35
I sure as hell would have...The people betting him in the KY futures are completely nuts. In the first pool or the second. At underlaid prices no less.
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Fine, and I would book everyone in those pools, as I am eager as well to take advantage of takeout. Plus, I realize in a best case scenerio his correct odds are in the neighborhood of 25-1, so I would gladly book him as well.
However, my point is that the REAL name of the game is making money, and while obviously I enjoy the chatter here as much as anyone, I don't see how any of us can expect much if we are " right ". It's the basic argument I have with making picks and not betting. If you don't actually bet you don't know if you could have turned even a good opinion into money.....and if you don't make money you aren't successful in this game.
And, specifically in this argument, I disagree with the PREMISE for your position. I do agree with you that he is less likely to win the Derby than probably 99% of others think. However, simply saying you think his career is basically over because he ran a negative number on the Thoroughgraph sheets, as a 2YO, to me borders on lunacy. Certainly you know a GREAT deal more about the game than that, and have proven it, and in all honesty, IMO, are not giving YOURSELF enough credit in furthering such opinion.