And furthermore, while I understand what you are saying about turf racing relative to dirt racing, and do see your points, there are too many contradictions for me to just agree with you.
Here's an example....Street Sense in the BC Juvenile. To be perfectly honest, his performance was almost exactly like that of a turf horse you described. He sat back off a fast pace and only came running at the end as the race collapsed behind him. yet, I had to read countless posts from people who believe in the sheet's theories, that he simply ran too fast to ever recover. Now, perhaps you too don't agree with this nonsense, but my problem is that Street Sense was thrown into the same enormous bounce box, instead of simply having his performance analyzed for what it was....a very nice effort by a horse dramatically aided by both bias ( the rail ) and extremely favorable race dynamics.
My problem isn't so much that I completely disagree with their theories...it's that they are used as a VERY wide umbrella. There is simply too much going on in racing to use such a big box to define SO many performances.
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