I'm not being a smart azz....I'm further exposing the BS associated with " the sheets " propaganda involving the supposed " bounce theory ". Since the sheets don't believe that pace has any relevance, they therefore do not take race shape into account, and thus have absolutely no leg to stand on regarding why horses run well on one day and less well the next. They simply say " oh they bounced " as opposed to intelligently analyzing a race. I am not denegrading their numbers, whether I use them or not ( I don't ), but I firmly believe they have disqualified themselves from any sound determination of WHY horses run well or poorly in relation to their normal efforts.
Einstein was three wide on one turn, four wide on another, and five wide on the other, all while being way too close to a pace that collapsed. If one's logic doesn't say that he didn't exert enormous effort in that performance, and simply says " it was turf so he won't bounce ", then they are not analyzing the races as they occur and fitting results to flawed theories.
The " bounce theory " is yet another indefensible short cut that helps horseplayers lose....not win. Keep following it, and not taking races apart, it's all the better for me. But, please, don't expect me to sit idly by while you espouse its indefensible foolishness.
|