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Old 03-08-2007, 06:38 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
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Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35
Let's do the data going forward. I want to have a fresh outlook on this and not expect the data to go in a certain direction.
If the sample sizes are equal, it's better to go forward. Less chance to introduce a bias about starting point.

btw, randall, I really like the way you've spelled out exactly what you are doing, including the sample size!

I'm going to bet on the place bet being more profitable. I've missed where this whole discussion took place (so to speak), but I don't see a betting bias that would overcome the generally bigger takeout for exactas.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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