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Old 03-07-2007, 06:15 PM
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randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ELA
I didn't mean to start an arguement here, LOL. I understand the points made, and absent of specifics, a specific race, facts, etc., we are speaking conceptually. I thought there might be a "norm" or "smart play" kind of thing.

I guess the real answer is -- for me -- in this situation, is to very quickly seek out my friend Andy and ask him what to do, LOL.

I think in every situation we tend to weigh risk/reward, our interpretation or perceived "value" so to speak, emotions I would guess, and experience, along with a host of other elements.

Generically speaking, I think in certain situations place -- and show -- betting can be used as a hedge. I've bet plenty of horses -- who were not the favorite -- across the board, where they've run second or third. Running second, I make money somtimes -- of course not a lot. Running third, I mostly lose money, but get something back. Perhaps this is a "whimp" way of looking at it and playing. But I've done this when I don't have strong feelings and opinions about gimmicks.

On the other hand, how could you use the exacta as a hedge? If you bet an exacta (or a couple of exactas) with the favorite on top -- you are betting against yourself -- right? Use the non-favorite on top and he comes in, but you don't hit the exacta, you diluted your win (or WP, WPS) bet, right?

I completely understand this is far to generic in nature in order to arrive at an answer.

Anyway, thank you again for your advice and again, pardon my naivete.

Eric
An excellent point on betting against yourself. I didn't even bring that up. These are the same people betting 3 horses to win the same race.
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