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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Believe me, the pace was so slow in that race, that Hard Spun certainly could have cleared.
To really get an idea of how slow the fractions were, go take a look at Uptothesky's form in race 3. He's basically a slowpoke, coming off of a 7th place finish in a 7.5K N2L life race last out--and a 8th beaten 23 lengths in a 5K N2L life two starts back.
Also, in four of his last five starts, he rated in 4th early on while going a route of ground.
He won wire-to-wire setting faster fractions than the Southwest winner.
Hard Spun had won all four of his prior races in wire-to-wire fashion, and absolutely had the natural speed to get a much better position early on.
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Clearly, you do you homework, Drugs; and always offer support for your position. In most cases, the support is of the general case type.
If you watch the race again, you'll HAVE to notice that the horse breaks slowly AND takes a bad/funky step a few strides after. It takes him a bit to settle in stride. Wouldn't you think that the jock was wise to just let him settle and run on his own
RATHER than pushing him to get the lead before a very short run to the turn?
Throw the race out and, if you like him, give him another chance.