Here are two reasons I think it is NOT foolish to bet this future:
1. Takeout is 16%, same as Churchill.
2. Some incredibly unsavvy money is bet. To get an inkling of this, just add up the money that will be bet on Circular Quay and Notional BEFORE they race on Saturday. (which is well before the close of betting on Sunday.) People will also overestimate the chance that Dreaming of Anna's connections will even choose to run in the Derby.
--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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