Two things to add.
First, the numbers can and are adjusted all the time for races in the past. See Magical Ride who was given like a 102 for one of her first races. Now I think they have that race down to like 83 or something. Same race, same guys determining the figure. She was very good that day or so they thought. Subsequently neither her or any of that field have done much, so the number has been adjusted down. A number is just a number.
Secondly, if you only look at the speed figs, you are going to miss important information like: claims, trainer/jock changes, equipment changes, medication changes, layoff angles, etc...
Read the Beyer books, then start to form your own methods for picking winners.
|