Quote:
|
Originally Posted by KY_Sasquash
It'll be interesting to see how Tenfold does today b/c he was allowed to set very soft fractions while also being the controlling speed in his last race and his beyer wasn't very strong. I'll be playing against him on the win end today b/c he'll likely be overbet based on the connections. Sticking with Notional on top and see Soldier picking up the pieces underneath.
|
It is of my opinion that Notional is finished, he blew his load in his MSW. If you watch the Tenfold race carefully, that race was more of an education then anything. Gomez learned alot about the horse as on the final turn he let this 8 horse Tiago (who I think is Sadler's, who he had great expectations for) get a head in front of Tenfold and then Gomez let him loose and he responded, and didn't hang. Was a little green towards the end and then galloped out pretty strong. a horses third race is usually his best and his two TG numbers are comparable, which could signal an explosion.
The other great thing about this is if he wins this race, he likely only needs to get a 3rd in another graded stakes race to qualify for the Derby.
He has everything that is liked for a Derby Prospect, broke his maiden at two with two decent learning experience, lightly raced, staying pedigree.
My only questions are
1) Can he speed rate and/or rate 3rd/4th?
2) Will Espinoza try to get cute on the nuts?