[Kasept]

CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

SCR Lit Ship who won Wed. at KyD..

Best Value: #5 Bonne Sante 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Frolicking 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Baracca 8-1 WON ($19.44)
Super Add: #6 Take a Bow 8-1 6th


6th: Pocahontas (G3), 2yo-F, 1m (.20 Derby City 6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Embrace the Moment 5-1: Filly to beat and only co-4th choice.. 6th
Next Best: #2 Miss Complicated 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Dazzling Dame 2-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Joke Maker 12-1 3rd


7th: Locust Grove (G2), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

VERY tricky read and no clear speed..

Best Value: #6 Our Pretty Woman 4-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Royal Spa 8-5 WON ($4.62)
Exotics Use: #2 Alpine Princess 2-1 2nd


8th: Iroquois (G3), 2yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Nothing Personal 8-1: Compton Violence colt won debut at 7f, has gears.. 4th
Next Best: #7 Comport 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Spice Runner 7-2 WON ($12.38)
Super Add: #8 Vost 12-1 3rd


P4 Grid:

5: 5-10-11 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
6: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-7 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x2 = $60 ($30 for .50)
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = $36 ($18 for .50)
Backup (AAAC): 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (5-8 in 8th)


9th: Open Mind, F&M-3+, 6.5f ($3 Late P3, P3, DD)

Another paceless affair..

Best Value: #5 Mink's Palace 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Positano Sunset 2-1 WON ($3.88)
Exotics Use: #2 Taxed 3-1 2nd


$3 P3 Grid:

9: 2-3-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 12-13 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 4x2x2 = 16 x $3 = $48


10th: TB Society, 3+, 6f (DD, Hi-5)

There is speed for this and it's hard to find fault with the logicals. Bentornato has a license to be much better as a 4yo and that could be enough in seasonal debut, even if not fully cranked..

POST SCR NOTE: Skelly gets way less pace pressure now with World Record, Nash & Full Moon Madness coming out..

Most Likely: #3 BENTORNATO 3-1 WON ($5.56)
Next Best: #10 Skelly 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Little Ni 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Here Mi Song 20-1 2nd


11th: MSW, 3+, 6f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #13 Subito 2-1 WON ($4.54)
Best Value: #12 Good Mojo 5-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Hitchcock 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 En Fuego 12-1 9th


P5 Grid:

7: 2-3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-7 (A), 5-8 (B), - (C)
9: 4-5 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)
10: 3-10 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
11: 12-13 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2x2 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AAACA): 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (4-7 in 10th)

50 CENT Pick Five (3-5-4/6-1/3/5/11-1/10/13) 5 Correct Paid $289.90


P4 Grid:

8: 1-7 (A), 5-8 (B), - (C)
9: 4-5 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)
10: 3-10 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
11: 12-13 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x2 = 64 x .50 = $32
All A's: 2x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8
Backup (AACA): 2x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8 (4-7 in 10th)

50 CENT Pick Four (5-4/6-1/3/5/11-1/10/13) Paid $101.25



WOODBINE ~ TURF CHAMPIONS DAY


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: Summer (G1), 2yo, 1m-Inner ($5 G1 Turf P3, P5, P3, DD, Swinger)

With many stretching out, hard not to anticipate a legit pace..

Most Likely: #5 Two Out Hero 3-1: Powderkeg War Front colt can adapt to any scenario.. 3rd
Best Value: #4 Thesecretadversary 6-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Wild Desert 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Argos 8-1 WON ($15.70)


$5 Turf Champions P3 Grid:

6: 1-4-5-10 (A), 8-12 (B), - (C)
8: 5-10 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
9: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x3x1 = 18 x $5 = $90
All A's: 4x2x1 = 8 x $5 = $40


7th: Ontario Matron (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f (Mandatory Pay .20 P6, P3, DD, Swinger)

Most Likely: #10 Caitlinhergrtness 3-1 WON ($3.70)
Next Best: #4 Wild Pansy 4-1 10th
Best Value: #11 Hurricane Clair 20-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Fashionably Fab 10-1 5th


8th: Natalma (G1), 2yo-F, 1m-Inner (P3, DD, Swinger)

Best Value: #6 HOT MASH 6-1: Fastest coming in and should be tough to catch under Rosario.. 2nd
Next Best: #5 Dance to the Music 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Deep Learning 5-2 5th
Super Add: #4 Dixie Law 20-1 6th


9th: Woodbine Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-Inner (P4, P3, DD, Swinger)

Most Likely: #2 Notable Speech 8-5: Serious, imposing Godolphin colt.. WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #1 Stanley House 10-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Win for the Money 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 One Stripe 5-2 5th


10th: Vigil (G3), 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Swinger)

Most Likely: #2 Simcoe 2-1 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #5 Wicked Django 10-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Victory Achieved 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 I'm a Gambler 8-1 5th


All STK .20 P5 Grid:

6: 1-4-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-5-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 4x2x4x1x5 = 160 x .40 = $64


11th: OC/Cond., 3+, 9f (DD, Swinger)

Most Likely: #1 Possiblemente 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Fly the W 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Pierre 4-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Bachelor Pad 6-1 9th


12th: OC/Cond., 3+, 1m-Inner (Mandatory Pay Hi-5, Swinger)

Best Value: #2 Awesome Bourbon 8-1 WON ($6.10)
Next Best: #3 Niagara Skyline 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Jayhawk 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 La Macaza 6-1 6th


Mandatory Pay .20 P6 Grid:

7: 4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-5-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-2 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 2-3-5-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x4x1x3x2x5 = 240 x .20 = $48


.20 P4 Grid:

9: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-2 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 2-3-5-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 1x3x2x5 = $30 ($6 for each .20 increment)


Let's get lucky!
Steve