Best Bet: Race 11 - #1 Practiical Lov 3/1 - think the last was legit as it comes and think she’s ready for even better today. Competitive race so think this morning line should more or less hold.
Best Value: Race 10 #2 Rebels Red 8/1 - I am a glutton for punishment constantly trying to beat Far Bridge but I do think that last race was a phony after all the scratches. Looks like a lot of people are landing on El Rezeen in here. I tried to beat Far Bridge with him last out and really after all the scratches he had no shot and ran OK, but he was never really getting to Far Bridge who was under wraps…should set up a lot better today and maybe I’ll put him right in the winners circle jumping off…I don’t love either of the Appleby runners though they’d hardly surprise. I think this is a perfect spot to try to get Rebel Red at a decent price against a field I’m not overwhelmed with. Given the one eye it’s no surprise that you never really know what you’re going to get but I think he can finish with these if Irad can work a trip.
I did look at Colonial today and I’m pretty excited to bet Isivungu another shot in the 8th. I think the form this year is completely muddied up with the trip to Dubai and today is absolutely the day to get the money. It’s a tough field but I’ll be shocked if he isn’t poised for an A effort today and the price should be right. In the Secretariat I also want to give Giacoso a shot. He was pretty good as a two year old but has some excuses in his last few.
Good luck
|