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Old 03-29-2024, 04:40 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,719
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OAKLAWN PARK ~ ARKANSAS DERBY DAY


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Julliard 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Bourbon Bash 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Clear the Air 7-5 7th
Super Add: #6 I'm Wide Awake 15-1 5th


7th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Ak Sar Ben Derby 4-1 DNF-Pulled Up
Best Value: #5 Elko County 8-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Militant 9-5 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Django 9-2 5th


8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

"I'll have a Bloody Mary and a steak sandwich.. and a steak sandwich.."

Best Value: #7 Underhill's Tab 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Captivating Boy 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Ten Days Later 12-1 8th
Super Add: #4 Media Mogul 8-1 5th


AQUEDUCT 8th: Excelsior, 4+, 9f (Cross Country P5, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Messier 9-2 2nd-DQ'd from WIN
Best Value: #3 Kuchar 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Kinetic Sky 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Curbstone 12-1 6th


COAST TO COAST P5 Grid:

AQU 8: 3-4-5 (A), 7-8 (B), - (C)
OAK 9: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
OAK 10: 6 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C)
OAK 11: 1-5 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)
OAK 12: 2-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x1x4x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 3x2x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (4-5 in OP 10th)


9th: Oaklawn Mile (G3), 4+, 1m (P5, All Stakes P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Nautical Star 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Midnight Rising 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Last Samurai 15-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Frosted Grace 4-1 WON ($14.40)


P4 Grid:

6: 4-7 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
7: 5-8 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
8: 5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12


10th: Matron, F&M-4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Zeitlos 7-2 6th
Best Value: #4 Mucho Macho Girl 8-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Leeloo 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Traverse 15-1 7th


11th: Fantasy (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 My Mane Squeeze 3-1 8th
Next Best: #12 Thorpedo Anna 7-2 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #4 All Things Go 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 West Omaha 4-1 2nd


12th: Arkansas Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #5 Liberal Arts 15-1 8th-DQ'd from 6th
Next Best: #7 Muth 8-5 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Timberlake 9-5 4th
Super Add: #6 Informed Patriot 30-1 5th


All Stakes P4 Grid:

9: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-6 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
11: 1-12 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)
12: 2-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12


13th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m

Most Likely: #10 Thestral 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Sister Kisses 12-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Wildwood Bye 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Absinthe 5-2 4th


P5 Grid:

9: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-6 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
11: 1-12 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)
12: 2-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
13: 2-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

10: 4-6 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
11: 1-12 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)
12: 2-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
13: 2-10 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (5-11 in 13th)


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 03-31-2024 at 07:08 AM.
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