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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
This is silly....and you know that.
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What do you think the odds of him actually running this prep, coming out of the race well and getting to the starting gate in the Donn are? Then what do you think the odds are of his beating Invasor and Premium Tap and everyone else that shows up if he does actually make it to the race? I'd say pretty fricken slim. I'm not talking what odds you'd get on the track since those are much lower than the actual odds due to takeout. Realistically he is at 2% against those horses and 67% to actually be there which multiplied together puts him right around 75-1.