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Old 03-28-2020, 10:11 PM
cal828 cal828 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 6,008
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Real Quiet View Post
I have always believed in the theory of chaos. If the favorite is going to win a certain percentage of the time you have to find overlays underneath. Fact of the matter is I cannot pick winners and make a profit. Ruffian and Roaming can because they are not swayed by the odds.
On another tangent will there be any tracks left running?
Looks like Oaklawn will keep running unless things get a whole lot worse here. I really don't know what the number of Covid 19 cases are here at the moment.

I think you are right in your observation about finding overlays underneath. I have thought that for the last 3 or 4 contests, but like a lot of other people can't seem to break out of my comfort zone so resort to my usual type of play or something totally ridiculous like a Super High 5, which I really didn't intend to play until I saw all the scratches. I still think a SH5 can be hit in a smaller field like 8 or 9 horses, but not 12.
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