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Old 12-04-2019, 12:21 PM
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Bogey Bogey is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: South Florida
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Quote:
Originally Posted by moses View Post
Good luck Gus.

Looking at the rest of the card, I see some value available in Race 6. The #6 Sturgeon is listed as the 2-1 ML favorite and gets Irad aboard so I think we’ll see some money on him. He has been claimed 5 times since August and enters the Delgado barn who wins 29% of races immediately after the claim. But I’m against him as I think this field is very, very close and look at some of the others at higher odds.

The #7 Joyful Heart gets some class relief and first time reporting as a gelding. This horse only has 1 win in 11 starts but finished 3rd behind Opry and Somelikeithotbrown in the G3 With Anticipation after setting the pace and has losses to A Thread of Blue, English Bee, and Bulletin...so I’m not going to hold his record against him. His recent works have been very nice. He’s listed at 10-1.

The #3 Kantharos’ Image started slow and then looked like he was shot out of a cannon, splitting horses down the stretch on his 1st off the layoff last time out. He’s listed at 8-1.

And of course there’s the #4 Zorb who has never run on grass but who has flashed enough early speed and has enough turf pedigree where it wouldn’t be a total shock if he ran well. Looks like the connections had previously tried to get him on the turf. He’s listed at 10-1.
Nice analysis. Good luck Moses. #3 Kantharos' Image figures to sit a nice stalk and pounce trip.
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