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Originally Posted by Gander
I think Southern Africa will be up against it for 2 reasons. One, he is a dirt horse running against turf specialists. Two, it doesnt appear to be a ton of pace in here to set up a late run like what happened in his last race where he closed very nicely to be 2nd on the polycrap. Not buying the theory that because he did well on the polycrap means he will like the turf.
Look, hes not even that good of a horse on the dirt. He is the proverbial wise guy play for anybody who thinks the 2 faves are vulnerable.
I think Jimmy Hendrix wins this heat.
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Has nothing to do with the poly race. His last three on the sheets are 7-1-2 and his pedigree suggests that turf will be no problem. The only concern is that his trainer sucks at dirt to turf. At 8-1 I will happily take a shot on him.
Edit - Actually, if you go far enough back he's run on the turf four times with 2 wins and a second.