Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo
A few things to consider: To suggest they have declined 50% is not realistic. Another element worthy of consideration, and there are many, are the Algo guys who have entered into that pool as well as the much more sophisticated handicapping methodology in 2018. So while I get the min is a culprit and perhaps the primary driver behind lower payouts, I seriously doubt it's 50% or that its the ONLY reason.
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You are right that there are other factors, but the $0.50 wager is probably the primary driver.
There is also more information out there than ever, or so I assume. More information should provide better results. I wonder if we have seen a higher number of favorites winning in recent years. Does anyone keep track of that information (maybe something like average payout on a win bet)? We know that favorites have had a streak in the Derby.