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Old 09-30-2016, 02:56 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,440
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pants II View Post
The protestors (Trump supporters) outnumbered her rally attendees in Florida today.

Don't panic. Most of the polls the dems outnumber the reps 4-8% roughly.

It's a farce. They're in panic mode acting like Trump is in panic mode. Total nonsense.
Every poll I've looked at since the debate has been oversampled +Dem by as much as 8%. These are the ones MSLSD and Clinton News are crowing the loudest about the "post-debate bump"

So, I don't put much faith in any of it. Even the polls that have been fairly neutral-biased. Take this Mason Dixon FL poll which is +2 DEM oversampled:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/doc...ember_2016.pdf

When you boil this down, you see that there is no way to determine where this oversample is weighted. For example they show they polled 150 people in "Tampa Bay" but there is no breakdown of how this was weighted - i.e. how many (what%) of the 150 polled are Dems? How many Reps? How many of the registered Dems polled said they were leaning Trump? How many Registered Reps are leaning Clinton?

We know Bupkis.

We only know that 150 people were polled and she has a 7 point edge (which I can tell you living here is not the case in her wildest dreams).

What is very interesting though given the known oversample of +Dems and overall demographics, Trump enjoys 30% support among Hispanics.


That's Yuuuuge.
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