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Old 01-11-2016, 02:48 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2006
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Quote:
Originally Posted by joeydb View Post
http://www.usnews.com/opinion/articl...illary-clinton

How about U.S. News? Not exactly a conservative publication...

Excerpt:

"Nearly 20 percent of likely Democratic voters say they'd cross sides and vote for Trump, while a small number, or 14 percent, of Republicans claim they'd vote for Clinton. When those groups were further broken down, a far higher percentage of the crossover Democrats contend they are "100 percent sure" of switching than the Republicans."
Virtually every poll since the end of November has the 2 of them in a virtual dead heat (neither exceed the respective MoE when leading):

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...nton-5491.html

Considering it would take a minor miracle for Trump to carry New York (compared to a complete impossibility for the rest of the field), the GOP, as usual, will be spotting the Dems 53 EC votes (between NY and CA).

The GOP needs to carry FL, PA and OH to have a prayer, and Trump is leading (over his GOP counterparts) in all three states.

A more interesting view would be the same poll, but broken down by battleground states, and then compared to Clinton-Cruz and then Clinton-Rubio
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