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Forum: Triple Crown Topics/Archive..

03-08-2017, 02:14 PM

Replies: 57

Sticky: 2.24-26 (CD): Derby Future (Pool 3); Oaks Future (Lone Pool)

Views: 46,137

Posted By blackthroatedwind

I think you're laying the bait....I mean,...

I think you're laying the bait....I mean, seriously, you are pointing out some heavy favorite that we were wrong about two years ago? Is that the best you got? Surely you have something better than...

Forum: Triple Crown Topics/Archive..

03-07-2017, 07:07 PM

Replies: 57

Sticky: 2.24-26 (CD): Derby Future (Pool 3); Oaks Future (Lone Pool)

Views: 46,137

Posted By blackthroatedwind

He's not good enough to be that horse. When he...

He's not good enough to be that horse. When he retires, nobody will notice....until his stud ad, which invariably will read "his gallop out in the Sam F. Davis made him the talk of the Derby trail."

Forum: Triple Crown Topics/Archive..

03-07-2017, 06:15 PM

Replies: 57

Sticky: 2.24-26 (CD): Derby Future (Pool 3); Oaks Future (Lone Pool)

Views: 46,137

Posted By blackthroatedwind

The connections surely don't inspire...

The connections surely don't inspire confidence....nor do his on-track performances.

Forum: Triple Crown Topics/Archive..

03-07-2017, 03:30 PM

Replies: 57

Sticky: 2.24-26 (CD): Derby Future (Pool 3); Oaks Future (Lone Pool)

Views: 46,137

Posted By blackthroatedwind

Granted the Tampa Bay Derby appears to be a...

Granted the Tampa Bay Derby appears to be a dreadful race, so maybe Tapwrit can win, but what about him seems good beyond possibly being able to win a weak race?

Forum: Triple Crown Topics/Archive..

02-28-2017, 07:44 PM

Replies: 57

Sticky: 2.24-26 (CD): Derby Future (Pool 3); Oaks Future (Lone Pool)

Views: 46,137

Posted By blackthroatedwind

I'm not betting either one, and have zero...

I'm not betting either one, and have zero confidence in Classic Empire, but he could EASILY be the favorite, and I think you can make a better case that he is value at 11:1 than your horse at 20:1.

Forum: Triple Crown Topics/Archive..

02-28-2017, 04:55 PM

Replies: 57

Sticky: 2.24-26 (CD): Derby Future (Pool 3); Oaks Future (Lone Pool)

Views: 46,137

Posted By blackthroatedwind

That was funny:-) They all suck! But I don't...

That was funny:-)

They all suck! But I don't think that was your original point.

A similar price on Practical Joke is probably slightly better value. Isn't 11:1 on Classic Empire better...

Forum: Triple Crown Topics/Archive..

02-28-2017, 04:16 PM

Replies: 57

Sticky: 2.24-26 (CD): Derby Future (Pool 3); Oaks Future (Lone Pool)

Views: 46,137

Posted By blackthroatedwind

Understanding whether or not 20:1 in the future...

Understanding whether or not 20:1 in the future pool is a fair price, is, in fact, math.

Stop telling me what I am being. It's silly.

Forum: Triple Crown Topics/Archive..

02-28-2017, 03:56 PM

Replies: 57

Sticky: 2.24-26 (CD): Derby Future (Pool 3); Oaks Future (Lone Pool)

Views: 46,137

Posted By blackthroatedwind

By the way.....there is a flaw in my argument...

By the way.....there is a flaw in my argument that gives you a little more leeway.

Forum: Triple Crown Topics/Archive..

02-28-2017, 03:46 PM

Replies: 57

Sticky: 2.24-26 (CD): Derby Future (Pool 3); Oaks Future (Lone Pool)

Views: 46,137

Posted By blackthroatedwind

I am giving you numbers, while you are saying...

I am giving you numbers, while you are saying there is a "good chance," yet you are saying my thoughts are arbitrary.

This is actually a good discussion. You can't say you think some odds, any odds,...

Forum: Triple Crown Topics/Archive..

02-28-2017, 03:22 PM

Replies: 57

Sticky: 2.24-26 (CD): Derby Future (Pool 3); Oaks Future (Lone Pool)

Views: 46,137

Posted By blackthroatedwind

Without actually doing the math, this "opinion"...

Without actually doing the math, this "opinion" can't really be defended. It's really a math equation...and nothing else.

The odds of him winning both the remaining NY preps "easily" enough for...

Forum: Triple Crown Topics/Archive..

02-28-2017, 07:46 AM

Replies: 57

Sticky: 2.24-26 (CD): Derby Future (Pool 3); Oaks Future (Lone Pool)

Views: 46,137

Posted By blackthroatedwind

OK, can you do the math for me to defend your...

OK, can you do the math for me to defend your side?

Forum: Triple Crown Topics/Archive..

02-27-2017, 02:03 PM

Replies: 57

Sticky: 2.24-26 (CD): Derby Future (Pool 3); Oaks Future (Lone Pool)

Views: 46,137

Posted By blackthroatedwind

First of all, he likely be higher than 6:1, but...

First of all, he likely be higher than 6:1, but even if he is, if he's 1:2 in the Gotham and even money in the Wood ( unlikely but I'll give it to you ), he's less than 5% to win the Derby.....or...

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