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Forum: Triple Crown Topics/Archive..

02-28-2017, 05:24 PM

Replies: 57

Sticky: 2.24-26 (CD): Derby Future (Pool 3); Oaks Future (Lone Pool)

Views: 46,168

Posted By ateamstupid

My original point was that I thought he was the...

My original point was that I thought he was the best value of the pool, not that future wagers in general are particularly good bets.

I'd have to see Practical Joke run a race as a 3YO first, and...

Forum: Triple Crown Topics/Archive..

02-28-2017, 04:25 PM

Replies: 57

Sticky: 2.24-26 (CD): Derby Future (Pool 3); Oaks Future (Lone Pool)

Views: 46,168

Posted By ateamstupid

Well, seeing as you've got Alabama Shakes on your...

Well, seeing as you've got Alabama Shakes on your side now, I see resistance is futile.

I'd love to hear whose future odds you think are better value than El Areeb's.

Forum: Triple Crown Topics/Archive..

02-28-2017, 04:01 PM

Replies: 57

Sticky: 2.24-26 (CD): Derby Future (Pool 3); Oaks Future (Lone Pool)

Views: 46,168

Posted By ateamstupid

Handicapping horses is not empirical math. You...

Handicapping horses is not empirical math. You know this. You're being purposefully pedantic. It's about finding your estimation of relative value in a certain pool. If there were a parlay...

Forum: Triple Crown Topics/Archive..

02-28-2017, 03:40 PM

Replies: 57

Sticky: 2.24-26 (CD): Derby Future (Pool 3); Oaks Future (Lone Pool)

Views: 46,168

Posted By ateamstupid

Stop it. This is all speculation and estimation...

Stop it. This is all speculation and estimation on your part, just like it is for me. Your 50-1 number for the Derby is totally arbitrary and I reject it. I think he has a good chance to be 6-1 in...

Forum: Triple Crown Topics/Archive..

02-28-2017, 03:01 PM

Replies: 57

Sticky: 2.24-26 (CD): Derby Future (Pool 3); Oaks Future (Lone Pool)

Views: 46,168

Posted By ateamstupid

You know this, but there's no empirical formula...

You know this, but there's no empirical formula here on either side, it's just rough forecasting based on circumstances and opinion. The point of the future wager is to get significantly better odds...

Forum: Triple Crown Topics/Archive..

02-27-2017, 02:21 PM

Replies: 57

Sticky: 2.24-26 (CD): Derby Future (Pool 3); Oaks Future (Lone Pool)

Views: 46,168

Posted By ateamstupid

I completely disagree with your assessment.

I completely disagree with your assessment.

Forum: Triple Crown Topics/Archive..

02-27-2017, 12:29 PM

Replies: 57

Sticky: 2.24-26 (CD): Derby Future (Pool 3); Oaks Future (Lone Pool)

Views: 46,168

Posted By ateamstupid

El Areeb seems far and away the best value at...

El Areeb seems far and away the best value at 20-1. Whether or not you particularly like him in the Derby (I personally think he's legit), the 3YO competition in New York is such that two more...

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