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-   -   Hawthorne 12/28 (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8161)

brianwspencer 12-27-2006 11:27 PM

Hawthorne 12/28
 
With the free TG charts, I figured I'd go ahead and cap tomorrow's card and post some picks here -- mostly for public ridicule and a good laugh if I fail miserably! It looks like a wide open card for the most part, so I took a couple of shots at a few prices. I'll keep it updated tomorrow -- would be interested to see what others capping Hawthorne came up with.

Race 1:
1. Dr. Nicole 5-2 WON ($2.80, $2.20, $2.10)
2. Trick of the South 5-1
3. She's the Berries 7-2 3RD ($2.80)
4. Count Sheep 8-1 4TH

Race 2:
1. Seeyouinnewyork 9-2 WON ($14.00, $5.60, $3.80)
2. Ocean of Mystery 3-1 2ND ($2.80, $2.20)
3. Angela's Wish 6-1 3RD ($3.60)
4. Mis Vietoria 7-2

$2 DD: $24.60
$2 EX: $38.60
$2 TRI: $154.60


Race 3:
1. Scenic Pine 5-1
2. Before This Day 6-1
3. Negra Noche 5-2 WON ($3.40, $2.60, $2.10)
4. Hope Copy 8-1 2ND at 58-1! ($25.80, $11.80)

$2 EX: $63.80
$2 P3: $42.60


Race 4:
1. Native Tell 3-1 4TH
2. Swinging Bandit 7-2 WON ($7.80, $4.00, $2.60)
3. Awesome Arnold 12-1
4. Salt Miner 6-1 3RD ($2.40)

Race 5:
1. She Is What She Is 6-1
2. Zealous 3-1 WON ($7.40, 3.40, 2.60)
3. Mak Macy Mo 5-1 2ND ($3.20, $2.60)
4. SeenemonaTV 9-2 3RD ($2.40)

$2 TRI: $75.40
$2 P4: $300.40


Race 6:
1. My Calico 8-1 (love this play...looks like the cutback can make the difference at a fat price...in retrospect "the difference" was another no-hope effort at 6-1 )
2. Jovial Angel 4-1
3. Los Ojos 12-1
4. Cash Mama 7-2 WON ($4.00, $3.00, $2.20)

Race 7:
1. Summer Range 8-1 2ND ($5.60, $4.00)
2. Dependability 3-1 WON ($9.00, $5.20, $3.40)
3. Sole of the City 4-1 4TH
4. Miss Swain 8-1

$2 EX: $62.80

Race 8:
1. Royko 5-1
2. Barely Union Scale 6-1 4TH
3. Awesomewithbroads 5-1 3RD ($3.20)
4. Battle Tank 7-2

Race 9:
1. Skip Around 8-1
2. Time Being 6-1 3RD ($3.20)
3. Moved 4-1
4. Heavenly Breeze 8-1

ArlJim78 12-27-2006 11:32 PM

Brian, you're a brave soul in my opinion to handicap a Hawthorne card. I can never get a sniff there. Probably cause I don't follow it very close,

anyway, Good Luck!

brianwspencer 12-28-2006 09:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
Brian, you're a brave soul in my opinion to handicap a Hawthorne card. I can never get a sniff there. Probably cause I don't follow it very close,

anyway, Good Luck!

i know it's tricky, but i still love it -- the payoff is there when you get it right!

we'll see how it goes, it's my first public handicapping on the forum, so i'm not expecting much :)

...and there's always tomorrow!

ArlJim78 12-28-2006 10:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brianwspencer
i know it's tricky, but i still love it -- the payoff is there when you get it right!

we'll see how it goes, it's my first public handicapping on the forum, so i'm not expecting much :)

...and there's always tomorrow!

Hey, the tricky ones are where you can get a nice payoff if you can happen on to an angle or an opinion.

"...and there's always tomorrow!"
thats also my confidence booster at the end of each day!:)

disappearingdan_akaplaya 12-28-2006 10:53 AM

heres my picks for today, in no particular order, good luck to any1 playing today!


1st-1,3
2nd-3,6
3rd-6,7
4th-1,2
5th-3,4
6th-3,4(rooting for the 4 here its my friend from minnesotas horse)
7th-3,5
8th-6,8
9th-4,7,9-horrible field

disappearingdan_akaplaya 12-28-2006 10:56 AM

the feature 8th looks real tough brian. garesche ran huge off the pine last time and is the obvious class of the field, if he improves at all off his last mighty tough. theres about5or 6 in there witha shot

brianwspencer 12-28-2006 11:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by disappearingdan_akaplaya
the feature 8th looks real tough brian. garesche ran huge off the pine last time and is the obvious class of the field, if he improves at all off his last mighty tough. theres about5or 6 in there witha shot

that was, without a doubt, the toughest race to cap on the entire card.

i ended up with royko because i was just looking for a horse who had a chance to improve enough to win at a price.

garesche certainly looks real tough right back after the big layoff -- though i did notice (if i recall right from looking last night), that he ran a pretty big one after his LAST big layoff and second off the bench he just paired it up, so I decided that he is going to take a good deal of action, which I don't like when I imagine he will likely just run back to his last race instead of improving.

If he improves -- he's your winner; I'm just banking against it!

disappearingdan_akaplaya 12-28-2006 11:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brianwspencer
that was, without a doubt, the toughest race to cap on the entire card.

i ended up with royko because i was just looking for a horse who had a chance to improve enough to win at a price.

garesche certainly looks real tough right back after the big layoff -- though i did notice (if i recall right from looking last night), that he ran a pretty big one after his LAST big layoff and second off the bench he just paired it up, so I decided that he is going to take a good deal of action, which I don't like when I imagine he will likely just run back to his last race instead of improving.

If he improves -- he's your winner; I'm just banking against it!


lol royko i like him, nice horse. early on in his career he burned up some of my money but this past july he made it all up with a nice score for me. just can see him winning it tho today. i think the improving horses in the field are the 2 outside ones

SCUDSBROTHER 12-28-2006 01:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
Brian, you're a brave soul in my opinion to handicap a Hawthorne card. I can never get a sniff there. Probably cause I don't follow it very close,

anyway, Good Luck!

ditto.......

Gander 12-28-2006 01:08 PM

I like the 7th race:
Sole of the Rat. A medium sized win bet and a small exacta box with Summer Gerbil.

ArlJim78 12-28-2006 02:41 PM

Brian, you're on FIRE! at the "thorne"

Keep it up!

Kasept 12-28-2006 03:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brianwspencer
that was, without a doubt, the toughest race to cap on the entire card.

i ended up with royko because i was just looking for a horse who had a chance to improve enough to win at a price.

The Bri Guy.. killin' at Cicero.. Nice!

And how can you not go with a horse named Royko in Chicago?

brianwspencer 12-28-2006 04:56 PM

All in all, not a bad day at all for a track that is as unpredictable as Hawthorne is in the winter!

Fell apart a bit in the late races, but the trifecta on Race 2 and the overlaid exacta on Race 7 would have made it a profitable day...had I actually been playing it :mad:

I'll be back later tonight with some picks for tomorrow, and I'm just going to keep hoping that I'll have a good day Sunday when I'm actually playing it!

paisjpq 12-28-2006 04:58 PM

nice job Brian...

ArlJim78 12-28-2006 05:00 PM

Brian that was really impressive picking at a tough track. good job.
even got a PK4!! not bad.

disappearingdan_akaplaya 12-28-2006 08:48 PM

LOL i dont need my own horn tooted or nothin but i think my picks did a little better, and i used only two per race. playin 4 horses per race on multirace wagers gets expensive

brianwspencer 12-28-2006 08:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by disappearingdan_akaplaya
LOL i dont need my own horn tooted or nothin but i think my picks did a little better, and i used only two per race. playin 4 horses per race on multirace wagers gets expensive

ha! there's a thread for tomorrow already, step up and post there and get on board then you horn tooter! :D

i just used four horses here because that seemed to be the basic stucture for the selections forum.

disappearingdan_akaplaya 12-28-2006 09:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brianwspencer
ha! there's a thread for tomorrow already, step up and post there and get on board then you horn tooter! :D

i just used four horses here because that seemed to be the basic stucture for the selections forum.

lol well i would but unfortunately i cant stay for the races after training 2morrow cuz i got some stuff that needs to be done. ill try for saturday. you make it out to tha thorne lately brian, where you at right now school?

brianwspencer 12-28-2006 09:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by disappearingdan_akaplaya
lol well i would but unfortunately i cant stay for the races after training 2morrow cuz i got some stuff that needs to be done. ill try for saturday. you make it out to tha thorne lately brian, where you at right now school?

i was out there on the 16th, visiting home.

im in ann arbor, mi now, finished with school and just working.

should be back moved in the area next summer/fall or so -- i'll be capping sat and sunday too, so we can discuss those if you've got some time the night before!


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