Derby Trail Forums - 7/10: Saratoga ~ Opening Day (4th-10th)

SARATOGA ~ OPENING DAY

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Majestic Return 3-1: With little pace, appears serious threat to wire.. DNF
Best Value: #6 Olga 9-2 5th
Next Best: #4 Proud Foot 4-1 2nd

5th: De La Rose-R, F&M-4+, 1m-Inner (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Heredia 3-1: Streaking Motion offers mare to beat, but others eligible.. 3rd
Best Value: #2 Les Reys 9-2 4th
Next Best: #8 In Our Time 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Deep Satin 7-2 WON ($6.70)

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Murky juvy turf sprint with Ward fave Gracie's Delight not imposing. Some solid lawn lineage on display, but no one here is screaming 'Bet Me!'..

Best Value: #2 Keto Drink 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Sadie Earp 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Aporia 4-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Cy Fair 8-1 WON ($13.40)

7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Lobby Rendezvous 10-1: Ten Strike a real chance at double w/ Majestic Return earlier.. WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #2 Endorse 8-5 DNF
Exotics Use: #5 Lost Horizon 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Reality Star 9-2 6th

P4 Grid:

4: 1-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 4 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
6: 2-5-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-2-5 (A), - (B), 3-6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x1x4x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAC): 3x1x4x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-6-8 in 7th)

8th: De La Rose-R, F&M-3+, 1m-Inner (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Ozara 7-2: Classy Clement filly the horse to beat & not favored.. ~ Depaula Play of the Day WON ($10.20)
Best Value: #7 Charlotte's Approval 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Movin' On Up 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Spinning Colors 10-1 3rd

9th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6F (DD)

Top pair look a cut above..

Most Likely: #5 Our Liberty Belle 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Killy Start 7-2 7th
Best Value: #2 Looks First 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Despo's Dream 9-2 5th

10th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 7f

Best Value: #9 Toxic Girl 10-1: Triple whammy play (Dropping down, cutting back, turf to dirt..).. 8th
Next Best: #8 Rock Harbor 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Best Impression 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Dream On Cara 10-1 WON ($34.20)

P5 Grid:

6: 2-5 (A), 6-10 (B), - (C)
7: 1-2-5 (A), 3-6-8 (B), - (C)
8: 1 (A), - (B), 7 (C)
9: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 7-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x6x1x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7 in 8th)

P4 Grid:

7: 1-2-5 (A), 3-6-8 (B), - (C)
8: 1 (A), 7 (B), 2-4-8 (C)
9: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 7-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x1x2x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (ACAA): 3x3x2x3 = 54 x .50 = $27 (2-4-8 in 8th)

Let's get lucky!
Steve