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-   -   7/4: Saratoga (4th-11th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=74628)

Kasept 07-04-2025 05:51 AM

7/4: Saratoga (4th-11th)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-Inner (P4, P3, DD, QUIN)Roger Roger, Your Lordship, Vintage Vino, Profound

Best Value: #2 Roger Roger 6-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Your Lordship 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Dirand 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Vintage Vino 9-2 3rd


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Enduring Spirit 3rd
Next Best: #1a Western Wolf 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Tiote 4th


6th: MSW-R, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Price restricted MDN juvies and a bit of an ordinary looking bunch. Kevin Rice shows up from Erie with experienced Mo Dodgy who will likely be half of his 8-1 ML by the time the gates open..

Best Value: #3 Mo Dodgy 8-1 WON ($7.80)
Next Best: #6 Minorinconvenience 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Essentially Fast 10-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Nowucme Nowudont 4-1 3rd


7th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Worthy Charge 2-1: Viola firster appears well prepped.. 3rd
Next Best: #3 Shadow Banking 3-1: Klaravich Maclean's Music has advantage of start.. 7th
Best Value: #6 Fort Nelson 9-2 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Apalta 7-2 4th


P4 Grid:

4: 2-6-8 (A), 4-5-7-9 (B), - (C)
5: 1-2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 3-6 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C)
7: 1 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 7x3x4x1 = 84 x .50 = $42
All A's: 3x3x2x1 = 18 x .50 = $9


8th: Manila (G3), 3yo, 1m-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 ZULU KINGDOM 6-5 ~ Chad's consistent ridgling feels like day's Most Likely Most Likely ("MLML").. WON ($)
Best Value: #8 Capitol Hill 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Reagan's Wit 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Revolutionnaire 12-1 5th


9th: Belmont Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f-T (P3, DD)

SCR Flying Mohawk who underwent colic surgery this week..

Best Value: #3 Luther 6-1 ~ Found Grp 1 French foes too tough; Value, but can't languish.. 3rd
Next Best: #5 Test Score 4-1 WON ($8.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Final Gambit 5-2 DH-5th
Super Add: #7 World Beater 10-1 2nd


Must Pay P5 Grid:

5: 1-2-4-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2-3-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 5x4x2x1x2 = 80 x .50 = $40


10th: Suburban (G2), 4+, 10f (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Awesome Aaron 7-2 ~ Norm's PIM Special win'r continues to improve.. 6th
Best Value: #1 Phileas Fogg 5-1 WON ($14.40)
Next Best: #4 Locked 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Antiquarian 4-1 2n d


11th: Harvey Pack, 3+, 5.5f-T

Best Value: #3 Surveillance 10-1 ~ Veteran speedster returns to lawn, adds hood.. 11th
Next Best: #10 Witty 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Mattingly 15-1 10th
Super Add: #6 Works for Me 4-1 2nd


P5 Grid:

7: 1-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 3-4-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x1x2x2x4 = $32


P4 Grid:

8: 4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 3-4-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 1x2x2x4 = $16


Let's get lucky!
Steve

Kasept 07-04-2025 09:47 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S


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