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-   -   7/3: Opening Day ~ Saratoga (5th-11th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=74614)

Kasept 07-03-2025 04:32 AM

7/3: Opening Day ~ Saratoga (5th-11th)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW-R, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Two by Two by Two 9-2 ~ Rock Your World 3 for 7 (!) with firsters so far.. 7th
Next Best: #2 Iron Orchard 9-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #8 Winrooski 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Dolce Vino 8-1 3rd


7th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Doctor Jeff 9-2 ~ Appleton (1m) was out of this one's range.. 5th
Next Best: #6 Maya Prince 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Hilarious Affair 5-1 8th
Super Add: #3 Chess Master 7-2 WON ($7.40)


8th: Wild Applause, 3yo-F, 1m-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Classic Q 4-1 ~ Very little pace signed on; Casse filly's 4/30 CD score would suffice here.. WON ($5.30)
Best Value: #1 Fixin to Bee 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Play With Fire 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #2 Love and Poetry 8-1 6th


9th: CLM, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Swaggish 6-1 ~ Off the claim, working sharply and comes back protected.. 2nd
Next Best: #5 Margin of Air 8-5 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Fromanothamutha 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Sundaeswithsandy 7-2 6th


10th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #5 Quiet Confidence 8-1 ~ Ryerson charge popped off break; Repeat takes this.. WON ($17.80)
Next Best: #3 La Salvadorena 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Leslie's Humor Late SCR
Super Add: #6 You Decide 8-1 9th


11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner

So Darn Pretty needs to take another step forward to win versus some nice prospects, but Russell gets those kinds of moves and Saez a great fit for sprinty type stretching out. Prominent throughout at a big number..

Best Value: #10 So Darn Pretty 15-1 ~ Depaula Play of the Day WON ($27.40)
Next Best: #5 Key Actress 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Bint Al Dindy 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Cliffs 9-2 5th


P5 Grid:

7: 5-6 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C)
8: 5 (A), 1 (B), 2-6 (C)
9: 1-2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (ACAAA): 2x1x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-6 in 8th)

$0.50 Late Pick 5 (2,3,10-13/3,5,8/5/5/10) Paid $3,404.00


P4 Grid:

8: 1-5 (A), 2-6 (B), 4-7 (C)
9: 1-2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (CAAA): 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4-7 in 8th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (3,5,8/5/5/10) Paid $537.50 (A-A-A-A)


Let's get lucky!
Steve

Kasept 07-03-2025 09:41 AM

Post Time 1:10 PM
Main Fast
Turf Firm
Weather Partly cloudy, Temperature 85F, Wind: NW at 6 mph, Humidity: 53%

Scratches & Changes

Race P# Horse Changes Notes
1 #5 I'm Solo N in Love 5 GOGGLES AGAIN

4 #1 Aerialist Scratched @ 10:07 AM

5 #6 She's Complicated Scratched @ 10:07 AM
#8 Royal Event 8 HOOD AGAIN

7 #2 It Can Be Done Scratched @ 10:08 AM
#11 Gun It Scratched @ 10:08 AM
#12 Kunshan Bridge Scratched @ 10:08 AM

8 #3 Especially Scratched @ 10:09 AM
#8 Ruth Scratched @ 10:09 AM

10 #5 Quiet Confidence 5 CHEEK PIECE AGAIN
#7 Amazing Athena (IRE) 7 CHEEK PIECE OFF
#11 Tap It Up Scratched @ 10:09 AM
#13 Caribbean Wind Scratched @ 10:09 AM

11 #4 Day Away Scratched @ 10:10 AM
#9 Opera de Ravel (FR) Scratched @ 10:10 AM

moses 07-03-2025 12:27 PM

Good luck Steve.

Race 8, Chad’s horse Lavender Disaster looks like the best of his 3 in there. I’m hoping Fixin to Bee can win it at a big price though.

Kasept 07-03-2025 02:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moses (Post 1182965)
Good luck Steve.

Race 8, Chad’s horse Lavender Disaster looks like the best of his 3 in there. I’m hoping Fixin to Bee can win it at a big price though.

Good luck, Mose. Rusty Arnold winning two on opening day would be OK with me.

knickslions2 07-03-2025 05:54 PM

Depaula and saez lethal combo!!

ADJMK 07-03-2025 05:54 PM

Boom.
Thats the way to start the meet off.

Great capping

Kasept 07-03-2025 05:56 PM

Happy Easter Motherphuckers!

moses 07-03-2025 06:02 PM

Great job Steve! Wish I followed along.

knickslions2 07-03-2025 06:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1182975)
Happy Easter Motherphuckers!

Lol

casp0555 07-03-2025 06:07 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1182975)
Happy Easter Motherphuckers!

Thanks a ton Steve.....:tro::$::tro:!!
Attachment 2789

knickslions2 07-03-2025 06:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by casp0555 (Post 1182978)
Thanks a ton Steve.....:tro::$::tro:!!
Attachment 2789

Nice Billy. I can’t believe that 10 won last with all derby trails weight on his back

ADJMK 07-03-2025 06:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1182979)
Nice Billy. I can’t believe that 10 won last with all derby trails weight on his back

Yea but he had the Andy "can't win " pushing him along.

Max Caidy 07-03-2025 06:20 PM

Wow! Great work!

atolunch 07-03-2025 06:41 PM

Boom goes the dynamite!!

Way to kick the 4th off with a bang!!:$::tro::$:

Congrats and thanks as always. Hope you and your family have a wonderful Holiday weekend.

Jerman 07-03-2025 06:41 PM

Steve: Excellent start to the meet. Thanks for the selections

fpsoxfan 07-03-2025 09:09 PM

Way to go Steve. Thanks for the 10 in the nightcap. I hit the late pick 4 too!!

Kasept 07-04-2025 04:55 AM

Thanks all.. That was delicious. Fun way to start the summer. Hope many benefited!

kp319 07-04-2025 06:52 AM

Hi Steve,
Tremendous job of handicapping! KP

theguarantee 07-04-2025 08:28 AM

Great work yet again Steve!


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