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-   -   6/5: Belmont Stakes Festival ~ $55,492 P6 C/O (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=74523)

Kasept 06-04-2025 06:29 PM

6/5: Belmont Stakes Festival ~ $55,492 P6 C/O
 
BELMONT STAKES FESTIVAL AT SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Tremont, 2yo, 5.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Romeo 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #3 Mythical 8-5 WON ($5.70)
Exotics Use: #4 Mercilesanihilator 4-1 5th


2nd: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Fire's Out 9-2 8th
Best Value: #10 Curlin's Angel 15-1 WON ($32.60)
Next Best: #4 Hideaway Late SCR
Exotics Use: #7 Key Actress 4-1 3rd


2-day P4 Grid:

WED 9: 2-5 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
WED 10: 1-4-5-11 (A), - (B), 6-8-12 (C)
THU 1: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
THU 2: 4-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x3 = 96 x. 50 = $48
All A's: 2x4x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (ACAA): 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6-8-12 in WED 10th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (2/4,8,14-16/3/10) Paid $818.00 (AAAA)


3rd: Astoria, 2yo-F, 5.5f (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Vernon Valley 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Gena B 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Sassy C W 8-5 WON ($2.90)


4th: OC/N1X, F&m-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 La Salvadorena 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Thiene 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Sol Hope 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Bedtime Story 30-1 8th


5th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner (P6, P3, DD)

$55,492 P6 C/O Starts Here..

Best Value: #9 Tralee Girl 5-1 WON ($9.30)
Next Best: #7 On a Summer Day 4-1 10th
Exotics Use: #5 Nonna Lynne 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Will of a Womanne 8-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

1: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
2: 4-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 6 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)
4: 1-9 (A), - (B), 7-8 (C)
5: 5-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x2x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7-8 in 4th)


P4 Grid:

2: 4-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 6 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)
4: 1-9 (A), - (B), 7-8 (C)
5: 5-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x3 = 54 x .50 = $27
All A's: 3x1x2x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (AACA): 3x1x2x3 = 18 x .50 = $9 (7-8 in 4th)


6th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Velvet Vortex 2-1 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #9 Donor Advised 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Limes Don't Lie 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #1a Luna Moth 8-1 7th


7th: Intercontinental (G2), F&M-4+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Kairyu 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Pipsy 6-1 WON ($12.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Future Is Now 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Time to Dazzle 20-1 4th

$1 EXA (6/2) $30.25
$1 TRI (6/2/7) $119.75
$1 SUPER (6/2/7/8) $2,172.00



Must Pay P5 Grid:

3: 2-3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 9 (A), 1 (B), 7-8 (C)
5: 5-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 8-9 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
7: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (ACAAA): 3x2x3x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (7-8 in 4th)


P4 Grid:

4: 1-9 (A), - (B), 7-8 (C)
5: 5-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 8-9 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
7: 6-7 (A), 2-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (CAAA): 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (7-8 in 4th)


8th: OC/C, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Octane 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Film Star 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Willy D's 9-2 WON ($5.00)
Super Add: #3 Classic Catch 9-2 2nd


9th: Poker (G3), 4+, 1m-Inner (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Cameo Performance 3-1 -
Next Best: #2 Intellect 5-1 -
Best Value: #7 Depiction 10-1 -
Exotics Use: #4 Major Dude 7-2 -


2-day P4 Grid:

THU 9: 1-2 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
THU 10: 3-7/SCR-8-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
FRI 1: 5-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
FRI 2: 1-7 (A), 11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x3= 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x4x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
fg

10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T

Impossible finale with 7-2 Gargan fave Just So Pretty no more likely 15-1's like firster Cleopatra's Key or 2nd time turf Dimensionality. Then there's the pair of Chad Browns to deal with inside (Queens Fable/Green Jobs)..

Best Value: #8 Dimensionality 15-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Faded Jeans Gate SCR
Exotics Use: #12 Cleopatra's Key 15-1 9th
Super Add: #3 Green Jobs 6-1 8th


P6 Grid:

5: 5-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 8-9 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C)
7: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5 (A), 8 (B), - (C)
9: 1-2 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 7/SCR-8 (A), 12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x2x2x3 = $144
All A's: 3x2x2x1x2x2 = $48
Backup (ACAAAA): 3x2x2x1x2x2 = $48 (4-9 in 6th)


P5 Grid:

6: 1-8 (A), 4-9 (B), - (C)
7: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-2 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 7/SCR-8-12 (A), 3-9 (B), 1-5/SCR-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x2x5 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AAAAC): 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-5-10 in 10th)


P4 Grid:

7: 6-7 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
8: 4-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-2 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 7/SCR-8-12 (A), 1-3-9 (B), 2-5/SCR-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x6 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-5-10 in 10th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve

Kasept 06-05-2025 10:17 AM

BEL/SAR SCR/CHG'S

casp0555 06-05-2025 12:24 PM

well played on the 2 day P4 Steve, very nice

atolunch 06-05-2025 12:42 PM

Boom goes the dynamite and the Byk train is a rollin into the Belmont!

Congrats and thanks as always!!:tro::$:

moses 06-05-2025 01:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by atolunch (Post 1182585)
Boom goes the dynamite and the Byk train is a rollin into the Belmont!

Congrats and thanks as always!!:tro::$:

That was nice Steve.

Rumors are swirling that Saratoga blew up an offsite transformer causing a massive power outage to slow down Steve’s momentum. Any truth to it?

Kasept 06-05-2025 04:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by casp0555 (Post 1182584)
well played on the 2 day P4 Steve, very nice

. THX Billy.. Glad I pushed people to look at these.. Thought they had potential!

Quote:

Originally Posted by atolunch (Post 1182585)
Boom goes the dynamite and the Byk train is a rollin into the Belmont! Congrats and thanks as always!!:tro::$:

How about that Larry?! THX pal..

Quote:

Originally Posted by moses (Post 1182586)
That was nice Steve. Rumors are swirling that Saratoga blew up an offsite transformer causing a massive power outage to slow down Steve’s momentum. Any truth to it?

:D I actually had to head home, so I missed the meltdown! THX Mose.. Off to a really nice start this week.

Hope everyone is getting something!

moses 06-05-2025 05:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1182590)
:D I actually had to head home, so I missed the meltdown! THX Mose.. Off to a really nice start this week.

Hope everyone is getting something!

My day has been ok except that I skipped Pipsy or else I’d currently be alive in the Pick 5 to 9 horses in the finale. Hoping one of the payouts under $1500 hits. Really kicking myself.

Kasept 06-05-2025 05:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moses (Post 1182592)
My day has been ok except that I skipped Pipsy or else I’d currently be alive in the Pick 5 to 9 horses in the finale. Hoping one of the payouts under $1500 hits. Really kicking myself.

Ugh.. Sorry. Walden is a very dangerous commodity.


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