Derby Trail Forums - 5/31: Churchill Downs (4th-11th)

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST SCRATCHES

4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 7F (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Kapoor 7-2 WON ($4.58)
Next Best: #7 Strong Destiny 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Scarce 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Merry Madison 4-1 4th

5th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Tetiaroa 3-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Clicquot 5-2 WON ($6.70)
Exotics Use: #7 Heavenly Sunset 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Anonima 12-1 4th

6th: Aristides (G3), 4+, 6f (Derby City 6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Skelly 7-5 6th
Next Best: #7 World Record 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Happy Is a Choice 6-1 DH-3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Giant Mischief 4-1 DH-3rd

7th: Audubon (G3), 3yo, 9f-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 World Beater 9-2 WON ($15.40)
Next Best: #1 Tomasello 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Mesero 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Early Adopter 3-1 5th

8th: Shawnee (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Alpine Princess 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Gin Gin 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Corningstone 10-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Where's My Ring 5-2 5th

P4 Grid:

4: 4-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-6 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C)
6: 6 (A), - (B), 7 (C)
7: 1-6 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)
8: 2-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x1x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7 in 6th)

P4 Grid:

5: 2-6 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C)
6: 6-7 (A), - (B), 3-4 (C)
7: 1-6 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)
8: 2-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AACAA): 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (3-4 in 6th)

9th: Arlington (G3), 4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Lagynos 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Silent Heart 10-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Brilliant Berti 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Mercante 3-1 WON (8.90)

10th: Blame (G3), 4+, 9f (DD, Hi-5)

#7 Most Wanted SCR's for Sunday ALW..

Best Value: #8 BANISHING 9-2 5th
Next Best: #9 Post Time 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Hall of Fame 6-1 4th
Super Add: ##3 Antiquarian 15-1 2nd

11th: Regret (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 Aterradora 20-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Classic Q 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Hereforagoodtime 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Golden Sunshine 12-1 7th

P5 Grid:

7: 1-6 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)
8: 2-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 5-7 (A), 8-9 (B), - (C)
10: 8 (A), - (B), 9 (C)
11: 2-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 2x3x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (9 in 10th)

P4 Grid:

8: 2-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 5-7 (A), 8-9 (B), - (C)
10: 8 (A), 9 (B), 6 (C)
11: 2-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x1x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (AACA): 2x3xx1x3 = 18 x .50 = $9 (6 in 10th)

Let's get lucky!
Steve