Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   Joe Silverio Simulcast Center (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=3)
-   -   4/19: Oaklawn (5th-12th; X-C P5) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=74403)

Kasept 04-19-2025 05:08 AM

4/19: Oaklawn (5th-12th; X-C P5)
 
OAKLAWN PARK ~ CROSS COUNTRY P5


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Coaster 12-1 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #3 Tempting Eve 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Avery's Mischief 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Spring Dancer Late SCR


4th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Dance Some Mo 12-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Imperial Gun 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Daily Grind 5-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Darrow 5-1 6th


5th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Faust 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Stiglets 20-1 WON ($39.20)
Next Best: #7 Septimus 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Fanatical 3-1 2nd


6th: Bathhouse Row, 3yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Caldera 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Instant Replay 4-5 WON ($3.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Hymm 4-1 4th
Super Add: #3 First Division 8-1 3rd


7th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Super Cruise 2-1 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #8 Tap Into This 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 La Houligan 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Global Quote 7-2 5th


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Insightful Miss 7-2 9th
Best Value: #3 Managing Mischief 8-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Little Blaze 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Mo for Us 3-1 6th


9th: AR-MSW, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Personal Jet 6-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Tizmarkus 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Four O Nine 15-1 WON ($17.60)
Super Add: #12 Hicko 8-5 2nd


P5 Grid:

5: 2-8 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
6: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 7 (A), 8 (B), - (C)
8: 2-3 (A), 8-10 (B), - (C)
9: 2-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (CAAAA): 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4-7 in 5th)


P4 Grid:

6: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-3-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x2x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36


KEENELAND 9th: Elkhorn (G2), 4+, 12f-T (X-C P5, DD)

Best Value: #1 Rebel Red 8-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Limited Liability 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Idratherbeblessed 20-1 10th
Super Add: #5 Utah Beach 20-1 WON ($25.40)


Cross Country P5 Grid:

KEE 9: 1-6 (A), 11 (B), - (C)
AQU 9: 4-6 (A), 8-9 (B), - (C)
KEE 10: 2-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
OP 10: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
OP 11: 2-3 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x2x2x = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AAAAC): 2x2x3x2x2x = 48 x .50 = $24 (4-7 in Leg E)


AQUEDUCT 9th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f

Best Value: #6 Sin Nombre 12-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Conniving 4-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #8 Dillinger 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Return the Ring 6-1 8th


KEENELAND 10th: Ben Ali (G3), 4+, 9.5f (DD)

Best Value: #2 Prince of Power 15-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Duke of Love 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Uno Mas Bourbon 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #1 San Siro 9-2 2nd


OAKLAWN 10th: Valley of the Vapors, 3yo-F, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #1 Jenkin 12-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Miss Martini 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Anonima 7-2 4th
Super Add: #5 Dare to Fly 4-1 2nd


OAKLAWN 11th: Oaklawn H. (G2), 4+, (DD)

Best Value: #2 Disarm 10-1 4th
Next Best: #3 First Mission 2-1 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Banishing 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Skippylongstocking 5-2 3rd


12th: AR-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f

Best Value: #5 Two Dollar Eddie 12-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Al's Romeo 6-1 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Campisi 7-2 9th
Super Add: #9 Nicolai 12-1 4th


P5 Grid:

8: 2-3 (A), 8-10 (B), - (C)
9: 2-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-3 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
12: 5-10 (A), 2 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AAACA): 2x3x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (4-7 in 11th)


P4 Grid:

9: 2-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-3-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 2-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x2x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36


Let's get lucky!
Steve

Kasept 04-19-2025 10:54 AM

OP SCR/CHG'S

KEE SCR/CHG'S

AQU SCR/CHG'S

moses 04-19-2025 11:02 AM

Good luck Steve!

A few horses at Keeneland that I’m going to build some bets around:

Keeneland 2. #6 Homer’s Odyssey 9/2 (Ramos/Asmussen)
Keeneland 7. #3 Cloudwalker 6/1 (J Ortiz/Walsh)
Keeneland 9. #2 Grand Sonata 4/1 (Alvarado/Pletcher)
Keeneland 11. #7 Rothschild 9/2 (Velazquez/Toner)

Kasept 04-19-2025 02:43 PM

Bwahaha.. Happy Easter!! :$:

moses 04-19-2025 02:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1181947)
Bwahaha.. Happy Easter!! :$:

Wow! Nice one.

Disclaimer: Every horse I’ve bet so far today has run last. Do with that info what you will.

dylbert 04-19-2025 08:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moses (Post 1181948)
Wow! Nice one.

Disclaimer: Every horse I’ve bet so far today has run last. Do with that info what you will.

My Blue Grass exacta finished in DEAD HEAT for last place this year. First time in fifty years as horseplayer that I picked TWO last place finishers in ONE race!

moses 04-20-2025 10:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dylbert (Post 1181950)
My Blue Grass exacta finished in DEAD HEAT for last place this year. First time in fifty years as horseplayer that I picked TWO last place finishers in ONE race!

It happens, right?

I go through hot streaks and cold streaks. The game is frustrating. 2-3 weeks ago, I seemingly couldn’t lose. Now, I’ve had very few winners for the last 7-10 days. I’ll probably take a break until the Derby unless I see something I really love.


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:14 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.