Derby Trail Forums - 4/6: AQU (R7-11); KEE ($66k C/O); SA ($48k C/O) ~ Big 3/Pick 3

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: ALW/N1x, 3+, 1m (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Encouraging group of older horses with fresh, emerging faces like Vespucci & Bendoog..

Best Value: #9 Mistical Curlin 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Vespucci 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Bendoog 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Super Add: #1 Cascais 10-1 2nd

8th: Gazelle (G3), 3yo-F, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Brinkerhoff shopped for spot for solid MDN Where's My Ring. Life Talk is a thoroughly vulnerable fave. Cox pair get gets services of Rosario & Franco..

Best Value: #4 Barbratina 6-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Where's My Ring 7-2 WON ($7.10)
Exotics Use: #7 Gin Gin 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Whocouldaskformo 6-1 4th

9th: Bay Shore, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

As discussed by Nick Tammaro on Wknd Prvw, more than enough speed to set up Mission Beach (8-1)..

Best Value: #1 Mission Beach 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Maximus Mischief 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Proprietary Trade 3-1 7th
Super Add: #2 Classic Joke 8-1 9th

10th: Wood Memorial (G2), 3yo, 9f (Big 3/Pick 3, DD)

Maybe the tact to take is that the wide draw for Uncle Heavy is getting us the best price (8-1) possible off his legit Withers win? Plenty of speed to clear off in front of Sanchez to get a decent spot into the first turn..

Best Value: #13 Uncle Heavy 8-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Tuscan Sky 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Deterministic 7-5 8th
Super Add: #2 El Grande O Gate SCR

$3 Big 3/Pick 3 Grid:

AQU 10 (4:07p): 4-9-13 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)
KEE 10 (5:52p): 6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
SA 10 (7:45p): 3-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x2x3 = 18 x $3 = $54
Backup (CAA): 2x2x3 = 12 x $3 = $36 (1-2 in Wood)

$3 PICK THREE (1/10/3) Paid $226.50 (C-A-A))

11th: NY-MSW, 3yo-F, 6f

Doubt that Grandilla goes off at 8-1..

Best Value: #3 Grandilla 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Arianna Rye 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Better Be Smart 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Peony 2-1 WON ($5.90)

P5 Grid:

7: 6-9 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
8: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-4 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
10: 4-9-13 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)
11: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AAACA): 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (1-2 in 10th)

P4 Grid:

8: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-4 (A), 2-7 (B), - (C)
10: 4-9-13 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
11: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x5x2 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 3yo, 9.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$66K P6 C/O starts here..

Cabernaydo (One of the best name for a horse I've crafted) shows up here for the new connections. Has to work out a trip from wide post but price worthwhile..

Best Value: #12 Cabernaydo 20-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Tapakena 9-2 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Stop the Press 4-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Artepus 7-2 7th

6th: Commonwealth (G3), 4+, 7f (All STK P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Call Me Fast 8-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Minnesota Ready 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Here Mi Song Late SCR
Super Add: #6 Bo Cruz 12-1 WON ($)

7th: Appalachian (G2), 3yo-F, 1m-T (All STK P4, $3 Turf P3/7-9-11, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Pounce 3-1 11th
Best Value: #4 Grecian Goddess 10-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Poolside With Slim 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Living Magic 30-1 7th

$3 TURF P3 Grid:

7: 1-2-4-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 6-7-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 5x3x1 = 15 x $3 = $45

8th: Madison (G1), F&M-4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Big Pond 20-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Vahva 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Red Carpet Ready 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Alva Starr 5-2 WON ($6.32)

9th: Shakertown (G3), 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Arzak clear horse to beat, but first time 5yo Let My People Go looks poised for breakthrough effort for outfit that excels here..

Best Value: #7 Let My People Go 10-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Arzak 4-1 WON ($9.24)
Exotics Use: #11 Coppola 6-1 9th
Super Add: #4 Beer Can Man 8-1 10th

10th: Blue Grass (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Just a Touch the horse to beat stretching out off ground losing Gotham try..

Most Likely: #6 Just a Touch 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #10 Sierra Leone 2-1 WON ($5.32)
Best Value: #7 Lat Long 30-1 9th
Exotics Use: #1 Top Conor 15-1 6th

P6 Grid:

5: 9-10-11-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 6-7-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 4x2x2x2x3x1 = $96

ALL STK P5 Grid:

6: 8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 7-8 (A), 2-6 (B), - (C)
9: 6-7-11 (A), 4-10 (B), - (C)
10: 6-10 (A), - (B), 1-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x5x2 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AAAAC): 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-7 in 10th)

ALL STK P4 Grid:

7: 4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 7-8 (A), 2-6 (B), - (C)
9: 6-7-11 (A), 4-10 (B), - (C)
10: 6-10 (A), - (B), 1-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x5x2 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1-7 in 10th)

11th: ALW/C, 4+, 8.5f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Running Bee 8-5 WON ($5.04)
Best Value: #8 Injunction 10-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Accredit 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Master Piece 7-2 3rd

P4 Grid:

8: 7-8 (A), 2-6 (B), - (C)
9: 4-6-7-10-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 6-10 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
11: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x4x1 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 2x5x2x1 = 20 x .50 = $10

.50 Pick Four (6-6-10/11-1/2) Paid $75.21

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: Santa Anita Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

As discussed all week, Corposo just as eligible on figs as Kopion or Kinza.. I'll be presenting the trophy to the winner

Best Value: #5 Corposo 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Kinza 4-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Kopion 9-5 4th

7th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P6, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Royal Charter 5-1 WON ($10.80)
Best Value: #5 Mrs. Astor 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Summer Lake 9-2 12th
Exotics Use: #12 Just Nails 5-1 4th

$3 TURF P3 Grid:

7: 5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 3-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x3x3 = 18 x $3 = $54

8th: CA-OC/N1X, 4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 So I'm Told 5-1 6th
Next Best: #3 California Tiger 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Tizz a Good Thing 4-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Left Hand Man 5-1 WON ($6.60)

9th: Monrovia (G3), F&M-4+, 6.5f-Downhill (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Lucky Girl 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Chimosa 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Graceland Gray 3-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Ag Bullet 9-5 WON ($5.00)

P4 Grid:

6: 2-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-6 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
9: 4-7 (A), 1-6 (B), 5-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x4 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (5-8 in 9th)

10th: Santa Anita Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Stronghold 5-2 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #7 McVay 5-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Imagination 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Tapalo 5-1 5th

11th: OC/N1X, 4+, 1m-T (DD, Hi-5)

Brutal group to decipher..

Best Value: #3 Sydney Street 8-1 -
Next Best: #8 Aligato 5-1 WON ($13.20)
Exotics Use: #10 Santo Dios 15-1 -
Super Add: #9 One of These Days 20-1 -

12th: CA-Echo Eddie, 3yo, 6.5f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Shady Tiger 3-1 WON ($8.00)
Best Value: #8 Two by Four 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Tom Seaver 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Known Idea 8-1 5th

P6 Grid:

7: 5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x2x3x3x1x2 = $72

P5 Grid:

8: 3-6 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
9: 1-4-7 (A), 5-6-8 (B), - (C)
10: 3-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x6x3x1x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

9: 1-4-7 (A), 5-6-8 (B), - (C)
10: 3-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 3-8 (A), 10 (B), - (C)
12: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x3x3x2 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 PICK FOUR (2,6/3/8/3) Paid $118.55

Good luck!
Steve