Derby Trail Forums - 9/13: Kentucky Downs (Day 7; 4th-10th)

KENTUCKY DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Has been great fun attacking the enigmatic Kentucky Downs puzzles, with just enough success to keep us coming back. It's closing day on the KY-TN border, so let's try to snare a big balloon or two with Tri keys..

Most Likely: #5 Arabian Prince 8-1 9th
Best Value: #2 Mendel's Secret 12-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Implementation 4-1 WON ($6.88)
Exotics Use: #6 Zambezi 5-1 8th

TRI KEY: 5 w/ 2-6-7-11 (1x4x3 + 4x1x3 + 4x3x1 = 12 x .50 = $6 x 3 = $18)

5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #11 Cairo Street 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Sistina Chapel 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Pray for Champagne 15-1 10th
Super Add: #10 Show Off 10-1 WON ($35.80)

TRI KEY: 11 w/ 6-7-10-12 (1x4x3 + 4x1x3 + 4x3x1 = 12 x .50 = $6 x 3 = $18)

$0.50 Trifecta (10/6/11) Paid $255.59

6th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 1m-T (Mandatory Pay P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Max K. O. 5-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Kentucky Ghost 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Big Blue Line 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Dominican Pioneer 12-1 WON ($10.00)

TRI KEY: 8 w/ 2-3-4-10 (1x4x3 + 4x1x3 + 4x3x1 = 12 x .50 = $6 x 3 = $18)

7th: AKLW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Pure Country 10-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Sablabiya 9-5 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Howboutdemapples 3-1 WON ($12.84)
Super Add: #14 Lamasco SCR

TRI KEY: 4 w/ 1-6-11-14 (1x4x3 + 4x1x3 + 4x3x1 = 12 x .50 = $6 x 3 = $18)

P4 Grid:

4: 2-5 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)
5: 6-11 (A), 7-10 (B), - (C)
6: 3-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

8th: Juvenile Sprint, 2yo, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Hedwig 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Please Advise 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Bledsoe 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Jimmythetooth 6-1 4th

TRI KEY: 7 w/ 1-2-6-9 (1x4x3 + 4x1x3 + 4x3x1 = 12 x .50 = $6 x 3 = $18)

9th: Untapable, 2yo-F, 6.5f-T (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Honey Dijon 12-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Mya's Halo 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Hidden Class 7-2 4th
Super Add: #7 Song of Norway 4-1 10th

TRI KEY: 4 w/ 2-6-7-8-11 (1x5x4 + 5x1x4 + 5x4x1 = 20 x .50 = $10 x 3 = $30)

10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (Mandatory Pay Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 Take Shape 15-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Snow Princess 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Kara and Colleen 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Fancy Caber Neigh 7-2 WON ($6.36)

TRI KEY: 3 w/ 5-6-9-10 (1x4x3 + 4x1x3 + 4x3x1 = 12 x .50 = $6 x 3 = $18)

P5 Grid:

6: 3-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-4 (A), 11-14 (B), - (C)
8: 7 (A), - (B), 1-9 (C)
9: 2-4 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)
10: 3-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x1x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-C-A-A): 3x2x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (1-9 in 8th)

P4 Grid:

7: 1-4 (A), 11-14 (B), - (C)
8: 1-7 (A), - (B), 2-9 (C)
9: 2-4 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)
10: 3-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (A-C-A-A): 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-9 in 8th)

Good luck!
Steve