9/10: Kentucky Downs (Day 6; 7th-11th)
 

KENTUCKY DOWNS


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Seisei 6-1 WON ($16.44)
Best Value: #7 Trail Ridge Road 15-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Eminent Victor 9-5 12th
Exotics Use: #12 Soft Touch 6-1 4th


6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Dulcia 12-1 10th
Next Best: #2 Reflexivity 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Our Dotsie 12-1 6th
Super Add: #12 Irish Patsy 10-1 4th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Gotta Keep Him 4-1 7th
Best Value: #12 Anthonian 10-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Mourne Mountains 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Liam's Journey 5-1 2nd


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 10.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Good American 9-2 WON ($7.52)
Best Value: #2 Lay the Groundwork 8-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Fiddle 5-1 11th
Exotics Use: #9 Pretty Provocative 8-1 6th


P5 Grid:

5: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2-6 (A), 9-12 (B), - (C)
7: 11-12 (A), 6-10 (B), - (C)
8: 1-2 (A), - (B), 9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (A-A-A-C): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (9-11 in 8th)


9th: Juvenile, 2yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #11 Mozlzil 30-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Value Engineer 4-1 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Aspenite 3-1 WON ($15.06)
Super Add: #8 Blue Eyed George 10-1 10th


10th: Juvenile Fillies, 2yo-F, 1m-T (DD)

Best Value: #8 Bella Haze 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Kodiac Wintergreen 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Latte Lizzie 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Sea Dancer 9-2 5th


11th: MSW, 3+, 7f-T (Hi-5_

Best Value: #5 Gold Franc 6-1 -
Next Best: #1 Baie Longue 3-1 WON ($6.82)
Exotics Use: #4 Tunisian Spring 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #11 Raven's Nest 15-1 -
Hi-5 Play: #12 Sunset Town 8-1 -


P5 Grid:

7: 11-12 (A), 6-10 (B), - (C)
8: 1-2-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-6-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 8 (A), - (B), 10 (C)
11: 1-5 (A), 4-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: (A-A-A-C-A): 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (10 in 10th)


P4 Grid:

8: 1-2-9-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-6-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 8 (A), 10 (B), 7 (C)
11: 1-5 (A), 4-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 4x3x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: (A-A-C-A): 4x3x2x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 (7 in 10th)


Good luck!
Steve

30-1 on Mozlzil looking like worst morning line of the year.