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-   -   9/2: Saratoga (5th-12th); KY Downs (5th-11th); Del Mar (7th-11th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=72743)

Kasept 09-02-2023 04:45 AM

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: Prioress (G2), 3yo-F, 6f (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Almost all gas signed on. Who can rate a little?

Most Likely: #5 Dazzling Blue 6-5 3rd
Next Best: #4 Alva Starr 2-1 WON ($9.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Jersey Pearl 3-1 2nd


6th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Stolen Magic 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Walley World 4-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Zverev 6-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Agate Road 5-2 WON ($4.10)


7th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 General Partner 4-1 WON ($9.30)
Next Best: #7 Enlighten 3-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Jefferson Street 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Dive Bomber 7-2 2nd


8th: Harvey Pack, 4+, 5.5f-T (Late P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Tremendous to get a stake named for Harvey. Not much pace on for a turf sprint..

Best Value: #2 Dancing Buck 7-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Our Shot 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Big Invasion 7-5 2nd
Super Add: #3 Thin White Duke 5-1 WON ($20.40)


9th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

A lot of speed signed on here, including the major players. Feels like an off pace runner has to be the call..

Best Value: #8 Fancy Feline 8-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Richies Princess 5-2 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Sandy's Garden 6-1 7th
Super Add: #12 Big Bean Christine 10-1 5th


P5 Grid:

5: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-9 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
7: 3-7 (A), 9-10 (B), - (C)
8: 2 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C)
9: 5-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-A-C-A): 3x2x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (4-5 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

6: 1-9 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
7: 3-7 (A), 9-10 (B), - (C)
8: 2-5 (A), - (B), 3-4 (C)
9: 5-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (A-A-C-A): 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (3-4 in 8th)


10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-Inner (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Internal Capital 9-2 11th
Next Best: #6 I'm Very Busy 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Bad to the Bones 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Tallahatchiebridge 8-1 10th


11th: Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), 3+, 10f (DD)

Hasn't gotten the attention or credit in lead up, but this is a really good race with plenty of intrigue where prices (Bright Future, Tyson, Warrior Johny) are as likely as the two obvious players (Proxy, Rattle N Roll)..

Best Value: #8 Bright Future 6-1 WON ($9.50)
Next Best: #1 Proxy 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Warrior Johny 20-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Rattle N Roll 9-5 6th


12th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T

Note that AE's (#13 Mary Katherine/#15 Arisaema) are preferable to the body of the field..

Best Value: #6 Lem Me Drink 5-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Camcha 2-1 11th
Exotics Use: #3 Dream Road 6-1 WON ($25.60)
Super Add: #7 Stone of Destiny Late SCR


P5 Grid:

8: 2-5 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)
9: 5-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 8 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)
11: 1-8 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)
12: 3-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-C-A-A): 2x3x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (5-6 in 10th)


P4 Grid:

9: 5-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 6-8 (A), - (B), 5-9 (C)
11: 1-8 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)
12: 3-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-C-A-A): 3x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (5-9 in 10th)




KENTUCKY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Gottaneedforspeed 8-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Do Your Job 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Augustine Red 6-1 9th
Super Add: #1 Thunder Ball 12-1 11th


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #11 Dunedin 8-1 8th
Next Best: #12 Good Heart 9-2 12th
Exotics Use: #4 Just Say When 8-1 11th
Super Add: #2 Felix 7-2 4th


7th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Cigarette Boat 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Mo Saturdays 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Beer Run 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Spanish Doubloon 12-1 9th


8th: Gun Runner, 3yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Escape Artist 10-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Wadsworth 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Talk of the Nation 3-1 WON ($4.74)
Super Add: #3 Gaslight Dancer 15-1 4th


P5 Grid:

5: 7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 4-11-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-5-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x3x3x4 = 72 x .50 = $36


9th: Music City (G3), 3yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Danse Macabre 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Secret Money 5-1 WON ($12.98)
Best Value: #8 American Apple 12-1 11th
Exotics Use: #5 Mamma's Girl 8-1 10th


10th: Mint Millions (G3), 3+, 1m (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Cabo Spirit 15-1 11th
Next Best: #6 Ancient Rome 8-1 WON ($15.32)
Exotics Use: #10 Annapolis 8-5 5th
Super Add: #5 Smokin' T 9-2 3rd


11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #12 Sickle Danse 4-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Riviere 7-2 6th
Best Value: #7 Calm Cool 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Tapitara 15-1 9th


P5 Grid:

7: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-9 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
9: 1 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 4-12 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x1x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

8: 5-9 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
9: 1-7 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
10: 1-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 4-6-7-12 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x3x4 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (A-C-A-A): 2x2x3x4 = 48 x .50 = $24 (5-8 in 9th)




DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: Del Mar Mile (G2), 3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Visitant 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Exaulted 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 I'm a Gambler 8-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Du Jour 4-1 WON ($10.20)


8th: Torry Pines (G3), 3yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Pink Ace 20-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Anywho 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Ceiling Crusher 3-1 WON ($6.80)
Super Add: #7 Ocean Club 8-1 5th


9th: Green Flash (G3), 3+, 5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Beer Can Man 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Motorious 4-1 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #10 Bran 5-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Lane Way 5-1 5th


10th: Pacific Classic (G1), 3+, 10f (DD)

Best Value: #11 Skinner 10-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Defunded 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Arabian Knight 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Super Add: #7 Slow Down Andy 8-1 3rd


11th: Del Mar H. (G2), 3+, 11f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Planetario 4-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Cathkin Peak 6-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Gold Phoenix 3-1 WON ($7.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Win the Day 50-1 9th


P5 Grid:

7: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 8 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
9: 5-8 (A), - (B), 6-10 (C)
10: 5-9-11 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
11: 5-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x2x5x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x1x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-C-A-A): 2x1x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6-10 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

8: 6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 5-8 (A), 6-10 (B), - (C)
10: 5-9-11 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
11: 5-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x5x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 09-02-2023 10:01 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S

myke 09-02-2023 11:29 AM

Steve,

I pray your wife is doing well and will be 100 percent after she heals.

Thank you for Del Mar.

true story....I had two friends that fell off step ladders and shattered their elbows. they are okay today. I am
the one hurting today because when we go out drinking neither one can reach back and get their wallets out.

Kasept 09-02-2023 11:57 AM

KYD SCR/CHG'S

Kasept 09-02-2023 01:09 PM

DMR SCR/CHG'S

Faiza & Olivia Twist are OUT of the Torry Pines..

Kasept 09-02-2023 01:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by myke (Post 1175231)
Steve,

I pray your wife is doing well and will be 100 percent after she heals.

Thank you for Del Mar.

true story....I had two friends that fell off step ladders and shattered their elbows. they are okay today. I am
the one hurting today because when we go out drinking neither one can reach back and get their wallets out.

Myke..

THX a lot.. She's a bit roughed up but OK. Lucky she didn't need surgery on the wrist.

Let's get lucky today!


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