August 19 Saratoga ROI WAgers go here . . .
 

Back at the Spa . . . love it!!!

R O I = Resplendent Or Idiotic 🙀
 

R O I = RESPLENDENT OR IDIOTIC

BETWEEN THE MISCHIEF AND THE GRAY
WILL ANY OF THESE CHOICES PAY

RACE 2
#7 = $28 WIN
SKYLARK ARTEMUS ( Gray ) :{>:


RACE 3
#8 = $28 WIN
YA GOTTA HAVE FUN


RACE 4
#3 = $28 WIN
FLAMINGO HAWK


RACE 5 XXXXXXXXXXX SCRATCHED
#4 =
TIVY ( Into Mischief ) :{>:


RACE 10
#6 = $16 WIN
MAXWELL SQUIRE ( Discreet CAT) :{>:

COLOSSAL CATNIP QUICHE FOR THE QUIET ONE :{>:




MAY THE PURRRRR BE WITH YOU

WEBSITE ===> www.RUFFIAN333.com

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R1 $100 Show #2 Remember The Name

GOOD LUCK!!!

Race 4...$11 ex key. 6 w 1-5-7. ($33)

Race 5...$17 ex key. 1,1A w 3-8. ($34)

Race 8...$11 ex key. 7 w 3-4-8. ($33)

R11: Henson 10 ( SHOW $100 )

race 2

$20 WIN

8


race seven

$40 WIN

8

race nine

$40 WIN

3

thanks RQ & good luck all

R2. 7 Skyler's Artemis 25 Win
R5. 7 Notable $25 Win
R6. 7 Jayla $25 Win
R7. 5 Junipermarshmallow $25 Win

Lots of ways to go here. I'll try to keep it simple.

Race 5:
$32 Exacta: 1 / 3,8
$18 Exacta: 3,8 / 1

Good luck to all and thank you to Real Quiet for scoring.

R8

$4 Tri 7//3,4,6,8//3,4,6,8=$48

R9

$2 Win 8

$1 Tri 8//1,2,3,5,7//1,2,3,5,7=$20

50 cent Tri Box 1,2,3,7,8=$30

Race 8: $10 ex
3w/1,4,6,7,8

Race 9 $10 ex
2w/1,7,8,9,10
Enjoy the day!!!

To my mind the exacta payoff on race 5 was surprisingly low. The race finished with the 2nd choice Durante (#8) winning and the speed half of the entry Daufuskie Island (1A) finishing 2nd. The exacta payoff was $4.30 for $1.

I was shocked by two things: (1) The reverse exacta wil lpay of 1/8 would have paid $8.00. Normally the exacta of favorite over 2nd choice is the lowest payout. Here, 2nd choice over favorite was lowest by a lot. (2) With only a few minutes to post, the 1-8 will pay was around $6.00 and the 8-1 will pay was around $9.00. That was a very dramatic shift in payoffs in a very short time, even though the win odds didn't move very much (the entry stayed right around 7-5 and Durante dropped from 5-2 to 2-1). It took a lot of late money in the exacta pool to account for that movement.

If I were a very cynical person, I'd suggest that some exacta bets were placed after Durante broke well from the gate and assumed the lead from Daufuskie Island, who on paper was supposed to be controlling speed. But I'm not cynical, just surprised and disappointed.

Surprised me too. Usually you're on point with your wagering breakdown. Definitely something you don't see very often. Almost as weird as one of our players using a morning line horse under 12-1.

I'm up to my old "tricks" again changing my Race 9 wager the last minute and missing out on a decent exacta pay out. My picks are Brown over Cox, etc. but I chnaged the wager to Cox over Brown. The way it goes.

Well, at least you beat the talking heads. Their choice was Pletcher's Gambling Girl. Tough to leave out Cox or Brown or Pletcher in any race. I got the winner, but it did me little good since I couldn't get the minor award winners.

Last week was the feast. This week the famine. Maybe we can all redeem ourselves on Travers day.