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-   -   7/26: Saratoga (Day 10; 3rd-10th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=72601)

Kasept 07-26-2023 06:18 AM

7/26: Saratoga (Day 10; 3rd-10th)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Inca Munny 5-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Heavenly Girl 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Being Betty 6-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Gram 2-1 WON ($3.70)


4th: Honorable Miss (G2), F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Fascinating 4 pack. Shug may have Maryquitecontrary poised for best at square number..

Best Value: #3 Maryquitecontrary 9-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Echo Zulu 4-5 WON ($2.80)


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-Inner (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Moon Watch 6-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Quality G 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 St. Joe Louis 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Billy's Got Issues 8-1 4th


6th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Ichiban 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #5 Big Hazel 7-2 7th
Best Value: #6 Danseur d'Oro 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Athena Beach 5-2 3rd


P4 Grid:

3: 9-10 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
4: 1-3 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
5: 1-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-5 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 2x2x3x2 =24 x .50 = $12 (2-4 in 4th)


7th: OC/Cond., 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Thin White Duke 6-1 5th ~ Depaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #2 Our Shot 7-2 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #8 Arrest Me Red 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #6 Chewing Gum 10-1 8th


P4 Grid:

4: 1-3 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
5: 1-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-5 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)
7: 2-5-8 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x3x2x3 =36 x .50 = $18 (2-4 in 4th)


8th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Amanda's Folly doesn't have to win here..

Most Likely: #2 Amanda's Folly 9-5 WON ($3.70)
Next Best: #6 B B's Busted 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Sweet Mystery 5-2 2nd


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-Inner (DD)

Best Value: #3 Rhombique 10-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Siempre Elegante 5-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Elle Est Forte 4-1 7th
Super Add: #11 Anatolian 6-1 2nd


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-T

Best Value: #9 Wayward Ghost 10-1 11th
Next Best: #8 Conquist 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #12 Wafir 10-1 8th
Super Add: #1 Indian Mission 8-1 WON ($12.20)


P5 Grid:

6: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-5-8 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
8: 2 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
9: 3-4-7 (A), - (B), 10-11 (C)
10: 8-9 (A), 1-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x2x1x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 + 2x3x1x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (10-11 in 9th)

$0.50 Late Pick 5 (1/2,10,11/1,2,7/4,8,12/1) Paid $312.75


P4 Grid:

7: 2-5-8 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
8: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-4-7-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 8-9 (A), 1-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x2x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup: 2x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

$0.50 Pick 4 (2,10,11/1,2,7/4,8,12/1) Paid $98.37


Good luck!
Steve

moses 07-26-2023 07:05 AM

Good luck Steve.

Lots of people seem to be against (even if mildly) Arrest Me Red in the 7th and most of those people are landing on Thin White Duke. I’m curious to see what the odds are for that race.

Kasept 07-26-2023 10:19 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S

moses 07-27-2023 05:18 AM

Nice job Steve!

Kasept 07-27-2023 10:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moses (Post 1174393)
Nice job Steve!

THX Mose.. Lucky to not get taken down in the nightcap obviously. Hope everyone did well.


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