4/1: Gulfstream Park (Florida Derby Day)
 

GULFSTREAM PARK ~ FLORIDA DERBY DAY


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T/56' (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Spansive 6-1 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #2 Ogema Bay 20-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Mo Town Mayhem 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Gloria's Princess 12-1 2nd


2nd: MOC/$40k, 3+, 5.5f-Tapeta (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Gotta Like Him 3-1 6th
Best Value: #12 Awesome Crusader 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Sterling Harmony 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Jerry's Turn 6-1 WON ($8.80)


3rd: Cutler Bay, 3yo, 7.5f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Dunedin 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 King's Fortune 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Harry Time 3-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Behind Enemy Lines 8-1 WON ($8.40)


4th: OC/N1X, 4+, 1m (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Giant Game 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #9 Bright Future 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #6 Lookin At Roses 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 O Captain 6-1 3rd


5th: Pan American (G3), 4+, 12f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Bay Street Money 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Master Piece 7-5 3rd
Best Value: #4 Ry's the Guy 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Abaan 5-1 6th


P5 Grid:

1: 2-5 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
2: 9-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 6-8 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)
4: 1-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x2x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


P4 Grid:

2: 2-6-9-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 3-4-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 1-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x2 = 64 x .50 = $32


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T/56' (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Mirabella 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Tiger Tap 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Get Your Kicks 9-2 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #12 Holy Foley 3-1 5th


7th: Ghostzapper (G3), 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Simplification 5-2 5th
Next Best: #5 First Captain 9-5 7th
Exotics Use: #4 O'Connor 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Surly Furious 15-1 3rd


8th: Orchid (G3), F&M-4+, 12f-T

Most Likely: #5 Amazing Grace 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #6 Personal Best 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Atomic Blonde 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Transient 7-2 4th


9th: Sir Shackleton, 4+, 7f (Rainbow 6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Weyburn 7-2 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #6 Steal Sunshine 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Dean Delivers 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Collaborate 9-2 5th


10th: Sand Springs, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T/56' (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Marketsegmentation 2-1 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #4 Souper Hoity Toity 12-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Love in the Air 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Perseverancia 5-1 8th


P4 Grid:

7: 3-5 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
8: 5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-6 (A), 1-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


11th: Sanibel Island, 3yo-F, 7.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Breath Away 7-2 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #9 Aunt Shirley 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Love Appeals 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Metaphysical 8-1 2nd


12th: Gulfstream Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 INFINITE DIAMOND 6-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Miracle 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Dorth Vader 4-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Atomically 7-2 7th


COAST TO COAST P5 Grid:

GP 12: 2-5 (A), - (B), 6-8 (C)
GP 13: 2-6-12 (A), 3-5-8 (B), - (C)
SA 6: 1-6 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
GP 14: 11 (A), - (B), - (C)
SA 7: 1-2 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x3x1x2 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x1x2 = $24
Backup: 2x3x2x1x2 = $24


13th: Appleton, 4+, 1m-T/0' (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Steady On 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #2 Souper Dormy 20-1 8th
Next Best: #12 Dreams of Tomorrow 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Lucky Curlin 30-1 4th


14th: Florida Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #11 Forte 4-5 WON ($)
Best Value: #4 Mage 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Fort Bragg 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Cyclone Mischief 8-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

10: 4-6 (A), 1-9 (B), - (C)
11: 2-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 2-5 (A), - (B), 6-8 (C)
13: 2-6-12 (A), 3-5-8 (B), - (C)
14: 11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x6x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x3x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6-8 in 12th)


P4 Grid:

11: 2-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 2-5 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C)
13: 2-6-12 (A), 3-5-8 (B), - (C)
14: 11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x6x1 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x3x1 = 18 x .50 = $9


Good luck!
Steve

GP SCR/CHG'S

Race 1 Scratch #8
Scratch #10
Scratch #11
Scratch #12
Scratch #13A

Race 2 Scratch #5
Scratch #8

Race 4 Scratch #3
Scratch #4
Scratch #5

Race 6 Scratch #14A

Race 10 Scratch #3

Race 11 Scratch #1

Race 13 Scratch #7

Forte sure looks tough to beat in this race (speed figures tower over the field and pace looks to set up perfectly for him) but since there is a money back special, I’m taking a shot and throwing $10 on this horse West Coast Cowboy. I’m probably way off but expect Leon to get him a rail trip and to be picking up pieces late. Maybe he shocks the world again. I’ve spent $10 on much worse ways.

Good luck Steve and everyone.