Derby Trail Forums - 11/4: Keeneland ~ Breeders' Cup Friday

KENNELAND ~ BREEDERS' CUP FRIDAY

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Business Model 6-1 WON-DH ($8.64)
Next Best: #6 B Dawk 2-1 WON-DH ($3.78)
Exotics Use: #9 Search Engine 5-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Open Road 3-1 3rd

2nd: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Eh.. This is a murky mess..

Best Value: #4 Lovin' On the Run 12-1 10th
Next Best: #10 Affirmative Lady 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Vivid Dreams 9-2 8th
Super Add: #6 Klassy Bridgette 5-1 2nd

3rd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Call Me Fast 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Marsalis 6-5 WON ($4.42)
Exotics Use: #6 Pro Oxident 8-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Spartan Army 6-1 6th

4th: OC/N1X, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Arabian Lion 7-5 2nd
Next Best: #12 Protege 4-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Old Alliance 30-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Tres Soles 5-1 6th

5th: Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance (G2), 3+, 13f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Rattle N Roll 5-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Next 15-1 WON ($12.50)
Next Best: #6 Bal Harbour 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Win the Day 6-1 5th

P5 Grid:

1: 4-6-9 (A), - (B), 8 (C)
2: 4-10 (A), 6-8 (B), 2-5 (C)
3: 1-6-11 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
4: 9 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-2 (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $6 (8 in 1st) + $18 (2-5 in 2nd) + $6 (3 in 3rd)

P4 Grid:

2: 4-6-8-10 (A), 2-5-7-11 (B), - (C)
3: 1-6-11 (A), - (B), 3-8 (C)
4: 9 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-2 (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 8x3x1x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 4x3x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $8 (3-8 in 3rd)

6th: Breeders' Cup Juvy Turf Sprint (G1), 2yo, 5.5f-T (P5, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 American Apple 20-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Private Creed 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Love Reigns 4-1 8th
Super Add: #6 Persian Force 15-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #9 Sharp Aza Tack 15-1 7th

$3 Turf P3 Grid:

6: 2-3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-5-6 (A), - (B), 3-10 (C)
10: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x3x2 = 18 x $3 = $54
Backup: 3x2x2 = 12 x $3 = $36

7th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, 2-day DBL/Distaff, DD, Hi-5)

Nine of the 14 signed on here are designated as speed or tracker types by TimeformUS which offers the opportunity for late runners despite use of the short stretch first finish line..

Best Value: #8 Atomically 12-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Chop Chop 4-1 13th
Exotics Use: #2 You're My Girl 10-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Chocolate Gelato 7-2 12th
Hi-5 Play: #6 Alma Rosa 30-1 9th

Reverse Tri Key Play:

Target: #4 Sabra Tuff (30-1) 4th

2-6-7-8-9-10 with 2-6-7-8-9-10 with 4 (6x5x1 = 30 x .50 = $15)

P4 Grid:

4: 9 (A), - (B), 12 (C)
5: 1-2 (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)
6: 2-3-6-8 (A), 9-10-11-12 (B), - (C)
7: 7-8 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x8x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 1x2x4x2 = 16 x .50 = $8
Backup: $8 (12 in 4th)

8th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Filly Turf (G1), 2yo, 8f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Pleasant Passage 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Free Look 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Be Your Best 8-1 8th
Super Add: #10 Meditate 4-1 WON ($6.08)
Hi-5 Play: #3 Last Call 20-1 6th

9th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (2-day DBL/Classic, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Cave Rock 4-5 2nd
Best Value: #8 Lost Ark 20-1 10th
Next Best: #10 National Treasure 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Verifying 10-1 6th
Super/Hi-5: #6 Blazing Sevens 6-1 4th

10th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf (G1), 2yo, 8f-T (2-day DBL/Turf, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Andthewinneris 5-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Silver Knott 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Really Good 30-1 12th
Exotics Use: #13 Major Dude 10-1 9th
Super/Hi-5: #12 Mo Stash 20-1 4th

2-day Juvy Turf/Turf DBL:

FR 10: 4-6-7 (A)
SA 10: 2-4-5-9 (A); 3-7-8-11 (B)

Main: 4-6-7 with 2-4-5-9 = 12 x $5 = $60
Backup: 4-6-7 with 3-7-8-11 = 12 x $2 = $24

P5 Grid:

6: 2-3-8 (A), - (B), 6-9 (C)
7: 2-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-5 (A), 3-6-10 (B), - (C)
9: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-6-7-13 (A), 2-13 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x5x1x6 = 270 x .50 = $135
All A's: 3x3x2x1x4 = 72 x .50 = $36
Backup: $24 (6-9 in 6th)

P4 Grid:

7: 2-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-5 (A), 3-6-10 (B), - (C)
9: 3 (A), - (B), 5-6-8-10 (C)
10: 4-6-12 (A), 2-7-13 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x1x6 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 3x2x1x3 = $18 x .50 = $9
Backup: $36 (5-6-8-10 in 9th)

Good luck!
Steve