Derby Trail Forums - 6/18: Belmont ($219k P6, $291k P5 C/O's); Monmouth (11th-14th; X-C P5)

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

$219k P6 C/O starts here and it's a muddled bunch..

Best Value: #5 Thegoddessofsnakes 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 New York Banker 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Holiday Jazz 9-2 7th
Super Add: #1 Chloe Rose 6-1 2nd

6th: Poker (G3), 4+, 1m-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Masen 6-5 WON ($2.60)
Next Best: #2 Sanctuary City 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Public Sector 5-2 3rd

7th (X-C Leg A): OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f-Inner (X-C P5, P4, P3, DD)

Interesting group of lightly raced upside types with first time North America starters from Chad (Dubb) & Todd (Eclipse)..

Best Value: #3 Fighter in the Win 5-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Credit Event 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Icarus 8-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Merci 9-2 6th

8th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Two Thirty Five 3-1 WON ($8.00)
Best Value: #7 Lastchanceatglory 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Pioneer Spirit 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Chris and Dave 9-2 6th

9th (X-C Leg C): NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Mr. Kringle 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Cotton 12-1 WON ($11.60)
Next Best: #8 Veterans Beach 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Golquist 6-1 10th

10th: MSW, 3+, 11f-Inner

Difficult long distance event to close out demanding sequence(s). Not many you can easily eliminate..

Best Value: #8 Hashtag No Wonder 10-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Remote 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Acamar 8-1 10th
Super Add: #4 Braille 6-1 9th

P6 Grid:

5: 4-5 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
6: 1 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-3-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 5-6-8 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x3x1x2x5 = $120
All A's: 2x1x3x1x2x3 = $36

P5 Grid:

6: 1 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
7: 1-3-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-5 (A), 8-11 (B), - (C)
10: 5-6-8 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x2x4x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 1x3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (1-4 in 6th): 2x3x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36

P4 Grid:

7: 1-3-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-5 (A), 8-11 (B), - (C)
10: 5-6-8 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

MONMOUTH PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

11th (X-C Leg B): Eatontown (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Princess Grace 7-2 7th
Next Best: #8 Fluffy Socks 3-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Stolen Holiday 6-1 WON ($18.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Lemista 4-1 3rd

12th: Pegasus, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Home Brew 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #8 Cooke Creek 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Electability 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Dash Attack SCR

13th (X-C Leg D): Monmouth (G3), 3+, 9f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Sacred Life 3-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #8 Glynn County 12-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Yes This Time 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Ever Dangerous 6-1 8th

14th (X-C Leg E): Salvator MIle (G3), 3+, 1m

Most Likely: #3 Hot Rod Charlie 4-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Confessor Late SCR
Next Best: #1 Mind Control 3-1 WON ($)
Exotics Use: #2 Mohaafeth 20-1 5th

Cross Country P5 Grid:

BEL 7: 1-3-9 (A), 4-7-8 (B), - (C)
MTH 11: 6-8 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C)
BEL 9: 4-5-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
MTH 13: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
MTH 14: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x2x4x1x1 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

11: 6-8 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C)
12: 2-4-8 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
13: 6 (A), - (B), 1-5-7-8-11 (C)
14: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x1x1 = 20 x $2 = $40
All A's: 2x3x1x1 = 6 x $2 = $12
Backup: 2x3x5x1 = 30 x .50 = $15

Good luck!
Steve