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-   -   7/25: Saratoga (Day 9; $258k P6 C/O) ~ Off/Turf (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=69898)

Kasept 07-25-2021 04:57 AM

7/25: Saratoga (Day 9; $258k P6 C/O) ~ Off/Turf
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-Off/Turf (P6, P3, DD)

With race(s) coming off, will need to revisit this after SCR's to see if there's any merit to the turfers that stay in..

Best Value: #1 Carly Hustle 4th
Next Best: #9 High School Crush 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Lime WON ($3.90)
Super Add: #14 Air Cavalry 2nd


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Baby girls and doesn't feel like there's a steamer involved, though Dave Grening featured Gal in a Rush in his preseason juvenile preview and the Clement barn can do no wrong right now..

Most Likely: #6 Gal in a Rush 4-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Demands Respect 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Four Dawn 5-2 7th
Super Add: #1 Shared Future 7-2 4th


7th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Not 100% convinced this is as open and shut as the 3-5 on Kaely's Sister would indicate..

Most Likely: #7 Kaely's Sister 3-5 WON ($2.50)
Next Best: #3 Master of Hope Late SCR
Best Value: #4 Thief of Hearts 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Cadeau de Paix 6-1 2nd


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f-Off/Turf (P3, DD)

Best Value: #16 Winston's Chance 9-2 6th
Next Best: #6 Dack Janiel's 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Yankee Division 5-2 4th
Super Add: #14 Locally Owned 8-1 2nd


9th: 45th Shuvee (G3), F&M-3+, 9f (DD)

Team Chad has this surrounded with Dunbar Road tops on her best and the Chilean import Gold Spirit quite OK and reminiscent of Wow Cat (2nd in her US debut, the '18 Shuvee)..

Most Likely: #4 Dunbar Road 2-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Gold Spirit 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Royal Flag 5-2 WON ($3.90)


10th: CLM, 3+, 9f

Most Likely: #8 Mubarmaj 8-5 WON ($3.90)
Next Best: #6 Someday Jones 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Villainous 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Easy Shot 6-1 4th



P6 Grid:

5: 1-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 5-6 (A), 1-2 (B), 3-4 (C)
7: 7 (A), 3/SCR (B), 2-4 (C)
8: 6-16 (A), - (B), 2-14 (C)
9: 4 (A), 2-7 (B), 6 (C)
10: 8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x2x3x1 = $96
All A's: 2x2x2x2x1x1 = $16
Backups: $8 (3-4) + $16 (2-4) + $8 (2-9) + $4 (6)


P6 P5 Grid:

6: 2-5-6 (A), 1-3-4 (B), - (C)
7: 3/SCR-7 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
8: 6-16 (A), 2-14 (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 8 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x4x3x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (2-4) + $36 (3-6)


P4 Grid:

7: 3/SCR-7 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
8: 6-16 (A), 2-14 (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
10: 8 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x1 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A's: 2x2x3x1 = $12 ($6 for .50)
Backups: $4 (6) ~ $2 for .50


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 07-25-2021 12:27 PM

SAR SCR/CHG


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