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-   -   12/5: Aqueduct (4th-10th; Empire 6 Force Out) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=68854)

Kasept 12-05-2020 10:29 AM

12/5: Aqueduct (4th-10th; Empire 6 Force Out)
 
AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: Remsen (G2), 2yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Ten for Ten 2-1; Tactical edge on front end.. 2nd
Next Best: #1 Pickin' Time 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Known Agenda 8-5 3rd


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (Empre 6, P3, DD)

Force out Empire 6 starts here..

Most Likely: #5 Summer Brew 2-1 6th
Next Best: #6 La Urbana 4-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Chilly Choos 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Out First 10-1 WON ($14.20)


6th: Go For Wand (G3), F&M-3+, 1m (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Nonna Madeline 4-5 3rd
Best Value: #2 Portal Creek 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Sharp Starr 3-2 WON ($4.50)


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #15 Jump for Joy 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Mrs. S 9-2 4th
Best Value: #13 Dovey Lovey 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Jasminesque 12-1 9th


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #12 Blitchton Lady 4-1 6th
Best Value: #3 Courageous Girl 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Wasp 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Amos 8-1 4th


4th
9th: Demoiselle (G2), 2yo-F, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Malathaat 4-5 WON ($2.90)
Next Best: #3 Millefeuille 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Malibu Curl 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Cafe Society 6-1 4th



10th: Cigar Mile (G1), 3+, 1m

SCR #2 Mind Control, #4 Firenze Fire & #7 Majestic Dunhill..

Most Likely: #1 Performer 7-5 3rd
Best Value: #8 True Timber 15-1 WON ($16.60)
Next Best: #6 King Guillermo 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Mr. Buff 6-1 5th


Empire 6:

5: 5-6
6: 1-2-3
7: 15
8: 2-3-9-12
9: 1 (3-4-6)
10: 1-5-6-8

Simple: 2x3x1x4x4x4 = 386 x .20 = $77.20
Budget: With 1 (Malathaat) singled in 9th: 2x3x1x4x1x4 = 96 x .20 = $19.20


P5 Grid:

6: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 15 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-12 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C)
9: 1-3 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
10: 1-6-8 (A), - (B), 5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x1x2x2x1 = 12 x .50 = $6


P4 Grid:

7: 15 (A), 6-13 (B), - (C)
8: 3-12 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C)
9: 1-3-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-6-8 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x2x4x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 1x2x4x2 = 16 x .50 = $8


Good luck!
Steve

Sethcarter 12-05-2020 12:51 PM

Thanks Steve... very interesting shows this week... it made me want to be your neighbor at Thanksgiving. Send your extras my way!!!!

Your shows are a great three hours of my day as I sit on my computer at home and work. It's great breaks up the work day very well.

No NCAA wrestling for me this season. It will be the first time I will miss a championship in 20 years... Hoping covid ends soon..

As always, the best to you and your family..

Kasept 12-05-2020 01:58 PM

Apologies. Mistook the 16 being SCR'd in the 7th for the 15.


Kasept 12-05-2020 04:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sethcarter (Post 1147543)
Thanks Steve... very interesting shows this week... it made me want to be your neighbor at Thanksgiving. Send your extras my way!!!!

Your shows are a great three hours of my day as I sit on my computer at home and work. It's great breaks up the work day very well.

No NCAA wrestling for me this season. It will be the first time I will miss a championship in 20 years... Hoping covid ends soon..

As always, the best to you and your family..

Seth..

Thanks very much. Hope your Thanksgiving was great and carries through into the Holidays and New Year!

Best wishes..

Sethcarter 12-06-2020 08:33 AM

Steve...

I purchased the clocker report for the first time today to give it a shot based upon your show this week. I was looking through it. It seems easy enough to read for the most part.

Do you know if there is a short document or a video on how to use the report?

Thank you for your time..

Seth

Kasept 12-06-2020 09:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sethcarter (Post 1147577)
Steve...

I purchased the clocker report for the first time today to give it a shot based upon your show this week. I was looking through it. It seems easy enough to read for the most part.

Do you know if there is a short document or a video on how to use the report?

Thank you for your time..

Seth

No tutorial per se, but simply reading the reports will give you the feel for the nuance of who really is coming up to a race well. You'll also get clued in to phraseology that clockers invariably use when they really like a horse. The A-, B+, B, B- grades are an at a glance read, but it's more important to absorb the attending comment, especially when there's the benefit of a series of efforts that show steady improvement from a worker. (Particularly helpful with first time starters).

My favorite use for them is with nicely price horses (especially unraced maidens) that may have a hint of ability based on pedigree/siblings. If there's positive clocking notes to go with their potential, I include them. One winner or a big priced exacta/tri pays for the report and more..

Sethcarter 12-06-2020 10:49 AM

Thank you.... that was very helpful. Sorry to bother you on a Sunday. Everyone deserves a day off.

Be safe and thank you again

Sethcarter 12-06-2020 04:46 PM

Definitely worth the purchase... the early plays paid for it for sure... I need to learn how to blend my ideas with it but I really think it was helpful...

Thank you


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